Tropical Weather Outlook 5 am Thu Aug 5

[TVMet]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT THU AUG 5 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON MAJOR
HURRICANE ALEX...LOCATED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND.

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO...A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING
FROM THE MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...ARE
MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 20 MPH. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SYSTEM HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED DURING THE MORNING...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS HAVE BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. REGENERATION...
IF ANY...WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO OCCUR. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN IS
LOCATED ABOUT 980 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE SYSTEM
IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 MPH AND SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS
MINIMAL AT THIS TIME. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW
TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN

Alex
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphic...GIF/050853W.gif

Tropical Wave
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DAT...LOAT/IR4/20.jpg

[Sage]

Thanks TVMet for keeping us informed. I know a lot will be sailing this weekend, and are grateful for the information.

[TVMet]

COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
415 AM AST WED AUG 5 2004

...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH AND EAST FACING
COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND ST. CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN WATERS
AND THE MONA PASSAGE...

AN ACTIVE TROPICAL WAVE TO THE SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO WILL CONTINUE TO
GENERATE STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS AND VERY ROUGH SEAS OVER
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS. THE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE DANGEROUS FOR
SMALL BOAT OPERATIONS.

COMBINED SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FEET ARE EXPECTED FOR TODAY OVER THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS. THESE SEAS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING
WAVES...SOME BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.

THEREFORE...LOCAL BEACH GOERS...SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE URGED TO
STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS SUBSIDE.
PARENTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY VIGILANT IN KEEPING SMALL CHILDREN AWAY
FROM THESE LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND SURGING SURF.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. THIS IS A
SHORT LIVED AND NARROW OUTWARD FLOWING CURRENT. SWIM PARALLEL TO
THE BEACH...AND YOU WILL EVENTUALLY LEAVE THE GRIP OF THE RIP
CURRENT.


BEACH EROSION IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. THE
TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDES ARE:

GUANICA, PUERTO RICO:
807 PM THIS EVENING

LIME TREE BAY, ST. CROIX:
921 AM THIS MORNING

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
SITUATION.

asd

[Sage]

Thank you so much for the warning for Puerto Rico. I guess this is what used to be TD 2 coming through.