Tropical Weather Outlook 5 pm Thu Aug 5

[TVMet]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU AUG 5 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
ALEX...MOVING RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH
OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE GENERATING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA AND EXTENDING SOUTHWARD OVER
THE CARIBBEAN SEA FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE...BUT MAY BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR
REGENERATION TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND BRING
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA... EASTERN CUBA
AND JAMAICA. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW AFTERNOON..IF NECESSARY.

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES
EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED NEAR THE CENTER...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

Satellite
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR4/20.jpg

[TVMet]

COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
205 PM AST THU AUG 5 2004

...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH AND EAST FACING
COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND ST. CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN WATERS
AND THE MONA PASSAGE...

THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT HAS BEEN GENERATING LONG PERIOD SWELLS WITH
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OVER THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS HAS
CONTINUED TO MOVE OUT OF THE LOCAL AREA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND
REPORTS BY LOCAL AGENCIES HAVE INDICATED THAT SURF CONDITIONS ALONG
THE SOUTH AND EAST FACING COAST OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND SAINT
CROIX HAVE SUBSIDED. AS A RESULT THE HEAVY SURF ADVISORY HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED. GUSTY WINDS AND CHOPPY SEAS ARE STILL HOWEVER
EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS...THEREFORE
BEACHGOERS AND SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY
PRECAUTIONS ACROSS THESE AREAS.

$$

MITCHELL
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DAT...LOAT/IR4/20.jpg