Tropical Weather Outlook 5 pm Thu Aug 5

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

530 PM EDT THU AUG 5 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE

ALEX...MOVING RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH

OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ARE GENERATING SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA AND EXTENDING SOUTHWARD OVER

THE CARIBBEAN SEA FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE

CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE...BUT MAY BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR

REGENERATION TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE SYSTEM IS

EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND BRING

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA... EASTERN CUBA

AND JAMAICA. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS

SCHEDULED INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW AFTERNOON..IF NECESSARY.

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES

EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS

INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED NEAR THE CENTER...AND A

TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE

SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

Satellite

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR4/20.jpg

COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR

205 PM AST THU AUG 5 2004

...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH AND EAST FACING

COASTS OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND ST. CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN

ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN WATERS

AND THE MONA PASSAGE...

THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT HAS BEEN GENERATING LONG PERIOD SWELLS WITH

STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OVER THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS HAS

CONTINUED TO MOVE OUT OF THE LOCAL AREA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND

REPORTS BY LOCAL AGENCIES HAVE INDICATED THAT SURF CONDITIONS ALONG

THE SOUTH AND EAST FACING COAST OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND SAINT

CROIX HAVE SUBSIDED. AS A RESULT THE HEAVY SURF ADVISORY HAS

BEEN DISCONTINUED. GUSTY WINDS AND CHOPPY SEAS ARE STILL HOWEVER

EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS...THEREFORE

BEACHGOERS AND SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY

PRECAUTIONS ACROSS THESE AREAS.

$$

MITCHELL

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DAT...LOAT/IR4/20.jpg