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  #1  
Old April 2nd, 2004, 07:51 PM
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ccletzgo ccletzgo is offline
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Default Hurrican Prediction told this morning .........

this morning on GMA, they had a hurricane prediction that was higher then normal.

I hope they predict wrong. Want to cruise in September!!
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  #2  
Old April 2nd, 2004, 07:57 PM
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Don't they say this every year?
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  #3  
Old April 2nd, 2004, 08:14 PM
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Seems like whoever does it does predict higher than average. Covering their butt I'm sure.


Tropical 9/91
Ecstasy 9/93
Monarch 9/95
Sensation 9/96
Grandeur 9/97
Inspiration 9/98
Enchantment 9/99
Grandeur 9/00
Explorer 3/01
Grand 9/01.........Review!!
Victory 9/02........Review!!
Navigator 3/03....Review!!
Adventure 9/03....Review!!
Voyager 9/04
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  #4  
Old April 2nd, 2004, 08:17 PM
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Cruised the fall three times without any problems. Also if there is a storm the ship diverts.

Go have fun, don't worry be happy

Al Rosenberg

Adventure of the Seas 14 November 2004

Radiance of the Seas 03/04
Navigator of the Seas 10/03
Carnival Pride 03/03
Norwegian Sun 10/02
Dawn Princess 03/02
Sensation 09/01
Carnival Destiny 03/01
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  #5  
Old April 2nd, 2004, 08:54 PM
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Actually the referenced news story is much more than just "covering their butt".

Dr. William Gray is the expert on Atlantic hurricanes. He puts out several statements each year, one early like today's, and usually a mid-season update. His track record is quite remarkable.

BTW, it is correct that they have been predicting a higher number than average for the past few years. According to Dr. Gray, we are in a several-decade long pattern of increased tropical storm activity.

You can read his releases here:

http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/

Theron

P.S. You will note from my sig that I have only cruised during hurricane season! I'm batting .500. Diverted once, to perfect weather on "the other side", then perfect weather on the planned route the second time!

Explorer of the Seas 9/27/03 Western
Celebrity Century 9/28/02 Eastern (Thanks to Lili)

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  #6  
Old April 3rd, 2004, 01:50 AM
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They are predicting 14 named storms this year with 13 being the average. They are also predicting 3 will make landfall in the U.S. with 2 being the average. Not really that much higher than normal.


Until NOS Sailing 10/23/04

Several cruises, but why list them when no one cares?
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  #7  
Old April 3rd, 2004, 03:04 AM
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I have cruised three times during hurricane season and they were the smoothest cruises I ever went on.

Carnival Pride
Carnival Pride
Costa Atlantia
Carnival Glory
Hal Zaandam
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  #8  
Old April 3rd, 2004, 05:57 AM
sharonkaye sharonkaye is offline
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I wish I could bring myself to book a cruise during hurricane season, but I've been on two cruises years ago during that season and NEVER again - I'm too chicken and get too seasick.

Royal Majesty '89,'90'91
Nordic Empress '95
Galaxy'98
Century '99
Majesty of the Seas '01
Constellation ''03
Mariner of the Seas '04
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  #9  
Old April 3rd, 2004, 06:37 AM
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Don't worry about it...they say that every year. I live 2 minutes from the Gulf of Mexico, no worries!


Till the girls sail on the Sovereign!


Till the Brilliance!


R1 7/2000
Sensation 5/2001
Imagination 8/2002
Veendam 3/2003
Sovereign 4/2004
Brilliance 7/2005
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  #10  
Old April 3rd, 2004, 06:41 AM
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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by arosenbe:
Cruised the fall three times without any problems. Also if there is a storm the ship diverts.

Go have fun, don't worry be happy

Al Rosenberg

Adventure of the Seas 14 November 2004
http://escati.linkopp.net/cgi-bin/co...ezone=GMT-0500
Radiance of the Seas 03/04
Navigator of the Seas 10/03
Carnival Pride 03/03
Norwegian Sun 10/02
Dawn Princess 03/02
Sensation 09/01
Carnival Destiny 03/01<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Yes, ships do divert to miss the worst of the storm, but a major hurricane anywhere in the Caribbean is sort of like having a power mixer someplace in a bowl of cream.
Hurricanes can be very large storms producing rough seas, high winds and rain many miles away from the eye. The weather channel identifies the eye location as the location of the storm. Hurricane force winds reach out for miles in every direction. Beyond that there are gale force winds. Tornados are possible even beyond that.
The Atlantic hurricane season extends from June 1 through November 30. That is HALF of the year! Odds are on that you will have great weather, but hurricanes influence Caribbean weather every summer and early fall. I often take cruises during hurricane season for many reasons. Our encounter with Pauline (Pacific hurricane we went through on Ryndam) did not ruin our cruise. It was a great adventure.

Work like a dog. Live like a pauper. Save all your money. Then Cruise!
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  #11  
Old April 3rd, 2004, 07:43 AM
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Just as long as we make Grand Cayman this year, I'll be happy! Jane

Explorer 10/10/2004 Here we go again
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  #12  
Old April 3rd, 2004, 08:23 AM
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Now that is truly harder to predict than the number of hurricanes expected.


<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Just as long as we make Grand Cayman this year, I'll be happy! Jane <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>


Until we sail on SUMMIT for 10 nights





Until *****'s on Explorer of the Seas




Seven Cruises last Century, then:

Norwegian Sky 2000 GGC2000
Volendam 2001 GGC2001
Paradise 2001
Sensation 2002 GGC2002
Millenium 2003 (Nov 16)
Mariner OTS 2004 (Feb 29)
Summit 2004 (Nov 05)
Explorer OTS 2005 (Jan 09)
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  #13  
Old April 3rd, 2004, 09:23 AM
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Yes, from what you read about Grand Cayman, you can miss that port due to rough seas any time of the year! I think if I really wanted to make sure I got to Grand Cayman, I'd take a plane!

Theron

Explorer of the Seas 9/27/03 Western
Celebrity Century 9/28/02 Eastern (Thanks to Lili)

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  #14  
Old April 3rd, 2004, 10:08 AM
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Having lived on the Gulf Coast all but 10 years of my life, and having been born in the middle of tropical storm Cindy,I have always been fascinated by them.But September is still my favorite time to cruise.
Last year we were in KeY West,and on the Western route,when A very strong Isabel skirted the Caribbean,then tore up the East coast.Never had wave action over 8 ft.

Cathy
NCL-Starward 1982
NCL-Seaward 1986
NCL-Norway 1992
Carnival-Celebration 1996
Carnival-Jubilee 2001
RCI-Rhapsody 1999
RCI-Rhapsody- 2003
Grand Princess or Rhapsody ?
2004


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  #15  
Old April 3rd, 2004, 05:51 PM
cmjaffe cmjaffe is offline
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Just plan to fly out a day earlier and also keep a keen eye out for incoming storms before your flights... I know that American Airlines will allow you to go out a day or two before your scheduled day if there's a storm coming in w/o charging a fee.... something to keep in mind.
Carolyn
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  #16  
Old April 4th, 2004, 06:19 AM
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Just purchase the insurance and you are all set

Carnival Pride
Carnival Pride
Costa Atlantia
Carnival Glory
Hal Zaandam
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  #17  
Old April 4th, 2004, 06:51 AM
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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Mamanance:
Just purchase the insurance and you are all set

Carnival Pride
Carnival Pride
Costa Atlantia
Carnival Glory
Hal Zaandam <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
If there is cruise insurance that covers bad weather, please share where to get it. Cancelling for a hurricane is generally not covered.

Work like a dog. Live like a pauper. Save all your money. Then Cruise!
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  #18  
Old April 4th, 2004, 07:29 AM
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want2seaitall want2seaitall is offline
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Wow I thought it was!!!


until my Majesty of the Seas cruise!


Carnival Inspiration - June 2003

RCCL Monarch of the Seas - July 2002

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  #19  
Old April 4th, 2004, 07:31 AM
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This was the number 10 reason to buy trip insurance by a complany named Travel Guard

10. You are at a beach resort in North Carolina, and you are forced to evacuate due to an approaching hurricane. Who will help you evacuate and who will reimburse your lost vacation?

I though that I had read in my insurance information that it did cover cancellations due to weather.


until my Majesty of the Seas cruise!


Carnival Inspiration - June 2003

RCCL Monarch of the Seas - July 2002

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  #20  
Old April 4th, 2004, 08:07 AM
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Mamanance Mamanance is offline
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Sure it is covered under insurance.

Carnival Pride
Carnival Pride
Costa Atlantia
Carnival Glory
Hal Zaandam
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