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Tropical Storm Ophelia


CoachTerry14

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Right now the NOAA forecast track looks similar to a "J" kind of turned on it's side and almost upside down....which means she's expected to curve back to the south again????? Please do not tell me she's going to be doing loop-d-dos out there...hate it when they do that!

 

P.S. The mess in the western Gulf of Mexico is just that...a mess that's expected to head towards Texas without further development...at least that's what all the tv stations are saying down here on the west coast of FLA at noon time.

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This is the first time I have seen one with a potential path of a circle. I guess that means the NHC has no idea where it will go. :rolleyes:

Maybe the circle is the start of a big question mark ;)

 

ATTN: ALL HURRICANES

PLEASE STAY AWAY FROM COCOA BEACH. I HAVE A WEDDING THERE IN 3 MONTHS. THANK YOU VERY MUCH :D

 

Didn't Hurricane Jeanne or one of those last year make some questionable loop-dee-loops before slamming FL? :(

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This is the first time I have seen one with a potential path of a circle. I guess that means the NHC has no idea where it will go. :rolleyes:

 

 

I've got path history that goes back all the way to the early 1900's and it's not as uncommon as you would think. Seems there's a couple of them every year that decide to take the scenic route. :) I hate those storms.

 

The good news though is that she's still "supposed" to head north in the end and most likely beat a retreat to try and catch up with Nate and Maria to the north Atlantic...but then again they are also saying that they don't have a lot of confidence about their projections either. Hmmmm.................

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I'm suppose to be leaving out of Jacksonville, Fl Saturday on the Celebration. I called my travel agent and Carnival and they told me that the ship will leave as scheduled. I would have thought the cruiseline would be more cautious, especially with a tropical storm that could turn into a hurricane being so close to the departure port. And for those of us who have to travel to get to Jacksonville; that's not going to be a picnic either. But don't get me wrong, I'm not complaining because Carnival is brave enough to sail in stormy weather, I'm dumb enough to be on that ship!!!

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We live in Central Florida and so have been following Ophelia very closely on the news and on the web. Right now they are predicting it is going to go north a little from where it is now and then out into the Atlantic before stalling out and maybe doing a loop (like Jeanne did last year) and maybe head back to Florida. If you are leaving from Jacksonville on Saturday you may be alright but I would keep a close watch on the weather channel just to be sure.

 

Also checking with Carnival to make sure that nothing has changed.

 

Have a great next cruise hopefully.

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BULLETIN

HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 10

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5 PM EDT THU SEP 08 2005

 

...OPHELIA BECOMES THE SEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...STILL NOT

MOVING...

 

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED

SOUTHWARD TO SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA.

 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF

FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL

STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED

WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

 

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA

COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL

STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE

WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

 

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE

SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF

THIS SYSTEM.

 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES

EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

 

OPHELIA IS STATIONARY AND A SLOW NORTHEASTWARD MOTION MAY OCCUR OVER

THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE

HUNTER OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE

INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A

CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE

IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...

FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

TO 80 MILES...130 KM.

 

THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL

PRESSURE OF 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

 

Forecast...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL1605W5+gif/205509W_sm.gif

 

Melbourne Radar

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kmlb.shtml

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I'm suppose to be leaving out of Jacksonville, Fl Saturday on the Celebration. I called my travel agent and Carnival and they told me that the ship will leave as scheduled. I would have thought the cruiseline would be more cautious, especially with a tropical storm that could turn into a hurricane being so close to the departure port. And for those of us who have to travel to get to Jacksonville; that's not going to be a picnic either. But don't get me wrong, I'm not complaining because Carnival is brave enough to sail in stormy weather, I'm dumb enough to be on that ship!!!

 

I one dumb enough to be on that ship right with ya. May be brushing elbows with yall, me and hubby!

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We are leaving today for Cape Canaveral bc we leave on the Glory Sat. Sept. 10! We don't care if the ship rolls a little, we like it that way. Glad to see Ophelia has left the building!!!!

 

If that ship leaves Sat. we WILL be on it! :)

 

Have a great time on the Celebration!

 

Cruizinrican

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BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 12

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5 AM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005

 

...OPHELIA WEAKENS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...

 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF

FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND A

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH

TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

 

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NORTH OF THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS

SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA.

 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST OR ABOUT

115 MILES EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

 

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...AND A

TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

 

REPORTS FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT OPHELIA

HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR

65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...OPHELIA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO

RESTRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

 

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES

...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

 

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE NOAA AIRCRAFT

WAS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER

COASTAL SECTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA.

 

A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS EXISTS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA

AND NORTHWARD THROUGH THE CAROLINAS.

 

Forecast track...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/024800.shtml?5day?large

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Just my luck:rolleyes: . We have rented a beach condo in Hilton Head SC starting next Thursday through Sunday. The forcast predicts this thing to just "sit" for a spell. I was really looking forward to these few days......

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