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OzKiwiJJ

Predict when cruising will start again post-Coronavirus

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Just for a bit of fun post a prediction for when you think cruising will recommence in various regions. One point for each correct prediction, I'll keep a spreadsheet.

 

1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific

2. Asia out of Singapore

3. Japan

4. China 

5. Alaska

6. Caribbean

7. Mediterranean

8. Baltic

 

If you think of any I've missed let me know.

 

Hmmm! I'll have to think about this. 😄

 

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41 minutes ago, OzKiwiJJ said:

Just for a bit of fun post a prediction for when you think cruising will recommence in various regions. One point for each correct prediction, I'll keep a spreadsheet.

 

1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific

2. Asia out of Singapore

3. Japan

4. China 

5. Alaska

6. Caribbean

7. Mediterranean

8. Baltic

 

If you think of any I've missed let me know.

 

Hmmm! I'll have to think about this. 😄

 

hi

 

Well I think later rather than sooner , I guess that it will take two years to return to anything near normality .

One of the huge deciding factors will be if the requirement for a medical certificate for the over 70's remains

If so many including myself will never cruise again

 

Would not like to divide the market geography its now a world market

 

Regards

John 

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Posted (edited)

As I got a cruises booked for the South Pacific to Fiji on the 23rd June 2020 on Princess, I will say sometime in May 2020 or early June 2020.

 

Alaska - As I got another cruise booked in Aug 2020 on Princess, I will say July or early Aug 2020.

Edited by Kiwi_cruiser

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5 minutes ago, VK3DQ said:

Well I think later rather than sooner , I guess that it will take two years to return to anything near normality .

One of the huge deciding factors will be if the requirement for a medical certificate for the over 70's remains

If so many including myself will never cruise again

 

Would not like to divide the market geography its now a world market

 

Regards

John 

Not all cruise lines require the medical certificate for over 70s. I understand that NCL does, but do any other cruise lines?

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4 minutes ago, Kiwi_cruiser said:

As I got a cruises booked for the South Pacific to Fiji on the 23rd June 2020 on Princess, I will say sometime in May 2020 or early June 2020.

 

Alaska - As I got another cruise booked in Aug 2020 on Princess, I will say July or early Aug 2020.

I am optimistic, but not as optimistic as you. 🙂

 

I think it will be Sept-Oct 2020 at least before life gets anywhere back to normal. One Australian medical expert said that he expects the peak of the virus to run until July and that he is "booking things" for November. Presumably he thinks things will be back to normal by then.

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3 minutes ago, Aus Traveller said:

Not all cruise lines require the medical certificate for over 70s. I understand that NCL does, but do any other cruise lines?

 

I thought most of the lines required something similar now????

 

Regards

John

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2 minutes ago, VK3DQ said:

 

I thought most of the lines required something similar now????

 

Regards

John

It's a CLIA requirement. Royal were going to ban passengers aged 70+ as of today, until they cancelled all cruises completely. No medical letter, just a straight ban. 

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1 hour ago, OzKiwiJJ said:

Just for a bit of fun post a prediction for when you think cruising will recommence in various regions. One point for each correct prediction, I'll keep a spreadsheet.

 

1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific - October, 2020

2. Asia out of Singapore - February, 2021

3. Japan - March, 2021

4. China - February, 2021

5. Alaska - November, 2020

6. Caribbean - February, 2021

7. Mediterranean - March/April, 2021

8. Baltic - November, 2020

 

9. Antarctica/ South America - March, 2021

 

Hope I get extra points for following the correct format!

 

This is going to take a long time to pass. I'm booked for Antarctica/ Patagonian Fjords next March, 2021. Not sure if I'll be able to afford to go by then!

 

We'll all have lots of time to dream about our future cruises.

 

1 hour ago, OzKiwiJJ said:

 

If you think of any I've missed let me know.

 

Hmmm! I'll have to think about this. 😄

 

 

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One person used the correct format. One bonus point for you, LittleFish1976!

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Revised list:

 

1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific

2. Asia out of Singapore

3. Japan

4. China 

5. Alaska

6. Caribbean

7. Mediterranean

8. Baltic

9. South America & Antarctica

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, OzKiwiJJ said:

 

1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific October 2020

2. Asia out of Singapore Nov 2020

3. Japan March 2021

4. China April 2021

5. Alaska May 2021

6. Caribbean October 2020

7. Mediterranean May 2021

8. Baltic May 2021

9. South America and Antarctica November 2020

Edited by possum52

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45 minutes ago, VK3DQ said:

 

I thought most of the lines required something similar now????

 

Regards

John

No. Princess and P&O Aust don't. As far as I know, it is only NCL that mentioned the requirement.

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1 minute ago, Aus Traveller said:

No. Princess and P&O Aust don't. As far as I know, it is only NCL that mentioned the requirement.

And RCI who also decided if you you have a chronic illness whatever age you couldn’t board. 
 

Leigh

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3 minutes ago, possum52 said:

And RCI who also decided if you you have a chronic illness whatever age you couldn’t board. 
 

Leigh

Presumably chronic illness might include asthma and diabetes. That would affect a lot of people.

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1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific – November 2020

2. Asia out of Singapore - November 2020

3. Japan – March 2021

4. China – April 2021

5. Alaska – May 2021

6. Caribbean – February 2021

7. Mediterranean – May 2021

8. Baltic – May 2021

9. South America & Antarctica – September 2021

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Just now, Aus Traveller said:

Presumably chronic illness might include asthma and diabetes. That would affect a lot of people.

Yes plus heart conditions. These conditions can be controlled very well and many would live good lives. 

 

Leigh

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43 minutes ago, LittleFish1976 said:

 

7. Mediterranean - March/April, 2021

 

 

One or t'other please.

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47 minutes ago, LittleFish1976 said:

 

Yes!!!

Thanks for the laugh.  Top marks for enthusiasm!!

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2 hours ago, OzKiwiJJ said:

1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific - August 2020

2. Asia out of Singapore - July 2020

3. Japan - September 2020

4. China - August 2020

5. Alaska - June 2020

6. Caribbean - June 2020

7. Mediterranean - November 2020

8. Baltic - September 2020

 

With a caveat to #1. I think cruises in Australian waters only will restart in June.

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21 minutes ago, OzKiwiJJ said:

1. Australia/NZ/South Pacific – November 2020

2. Asia out of Singapore - November 2020

3. Japan – March 2021

4. China – April 2021

5. Alaska – May 2021

6. Caribbean – February 2021

7. Mediterranean – May 2021

8. Baltic – May 2021

9. South America & Antarctica – September 2021

This but all 3 months later

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26 minutes ago, Aus Traveller said:

Presumably chronic illness might include asthma and diabetes.

 

Chronic only means persistent. It could for example be a persistent cough with no underlying serious medical condition.

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Long term I think the cruise industry are going to suffer tremendously.

By the time this is over we may not have any cruise lines left.

How long do you think a business can survive without customers?

On here we are all cruising fanatics, but make up a very small proportion of cruisers.

If you had never previously cruised, would you seriously think about boarding a ship knowing what has occurred since this outbreak began?

Weeks being kept prisoner in a cabin, many being insides with no natural light.

I love cruising, but from now on, if I ever do get back on a ship, it would only be if I can afford a balcony.

I really hope my doom and gloom is ill founded, but there are certainly rough seas ahead.

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I'm so happy to see most people are even more pessimistic than I am!

 

1 hour ago, OzKiwiJJ said:

One or t'other please.

 

Hmmm, okay; late March, then. My crystal ball was telling me March/April but I'll acquiesce.

 

Thanks OzKiwiJJ for this fun thread - we need this!

 

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I know Alaska season is only May to Sept but not sure of the months the others operate so here is my guess

 

1. Aust/NZ/South Pacific - Jan 2021 with limited itineraries & ships that are here year round including one from Royal for the first time.

2. Asia - May 2021

3. Japan - March 2021

4. China - 2022 whichever month the season starts

5. Alaska - May 2021

6. Carribbean - May 2021

7. Mediterranean - 2022 whichever month the season starts

8. Baltic - 2022 whichever month the season starts

9. South America/Antarctica - May 2021

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