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Earnings announcement finally scheduled:

 

MIAMI

, Nov. 03, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:NCLH) (together with NCL Corporation Ltd., “Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings” or the “Company”) announced today it will report third quarter 2020 financial results after market close on Monday, November 9, 2020 with a conference call to discuss results on Tuesday, November 10, 2020 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time. The conference call will be simultaneously webcast via the Company’s Investor Relations website, www.nclhltdinvestor.com. A replay of the webcast will be available at the same site for 30 days following the call.

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Earnings statement:

 

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Reports Third Quarter 2020 Financial Results and Provides Business Update
 

MIAMI, Nov. 09, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE: NCLH) (together with NCL Corporation Ltd., “Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings”, “Norwegian” or the “Company”) today reported financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2020 and provided a business update.

“The new Framework for Conditional Sailing Order issued by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is a step in the right direction on the path to the safer and healthier resumption of cruising in the U.S., reinforcing our existing rigorous commitment to health and safety. We will continue to collaborate with the CDC on next steps to relaunch operations with a shared goal of protecting the health and safety of our guests, crew and the communities we visit,” said Frank Del Rio, president and chief executive officer of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. “While we have a long road of recovery ahead of us, we are encouraged by the continued demand for future cruise vacations, especially from our loyal past guests, across all three of our brands.”

CDC Framework for Conditional Sailing Order

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (“CDC”) issued a Framework for Conditional Sailing Order (the “Conditional Order”), replacing the No Sail Order, that will permit cruise ship passenger operations in U.S. waters under certain conditions. The phases outlined in the Conditional Order include:

  • Testing and additional safeguards for crew members, while building laboratory capacity needed to test guests and crew in the future;
  • Simulated voyages to test a cruise ship operator's ability to mitigate COVID-19 risk;
  • Certification for ships that meet specific requirements;
  • A phased return to guest voyages in a manner that mitigates the risk of COVID-19 transmission among guests, crew and communities visited.

While the Conditional Order represents a step forward in the resumption of cruising in the U.S., significant uncertainties remain regarding certain requirements of the Conditional Order including pending technical instructions for future phases. The Company will continue to work with both the CDC and its expert advisors to refine its comprehensive health and safety strategy and to comply with all aspects of the Conditional Order.

Health and Safety

In September, the Healthy Sail Panel (“HSP”), a team of 11 globally recognized experts assembled by the Company in collaboration with Royal Caribbean Group, provided a 66-page report including 74 detailed best practices across five areas of focus to improve health and safety for passengers and crew, and reduce the risk of infection and spread of COVID-19 on cruise ships. The HSP concluded that by relentlessly focusing on prevention and other measures, public health risks associated with the pandemic can be mitigated in a cruise ship environment with a comprehensive set of science-backed protocols. The HSP’s recommendations span the entire cruise journey, starting from the time of booking and continuing post cruise, and will inform the Company’s own return to service plan. The cornerstone of this stringent plan is universal COVID-19 testing of 100% of all guests and crew prior to boarding. The Company will continuously evaluate, refine and identify ways to improve these standards as science, technology and knowledge of SARS-CoV-2 advances.

The HSP is co-chaired by Governor Mike Leavitt, former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services, and Dr. Scott Gottlieb, former commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. The HSP’s members are globally recognized experts from various disciplines, including public health, infectious disease, biosecurity, hospitality and maritime operations.

Booking Environment and Outlook

While booking volumes since the emergence of the COVID-19 global pandemic remain below historical levels, there continues to be demand for future cruise vacations, particularly beginning for sailings operating in the second half of 2021 and beyond, despite limited marketing efforts. Our overall cumulative booked position for the first half of 2021 remains below historical ranges as expected due to the current uncertain environment, however, for the second half of 2021 it is in line with historical ranges. Pricing for full year 2021 is in line with pre-pandemic levels, even after including the dilutive impact of future cruise credits. Pent up future demand for cruising is further demonstrated by record booking achievements in September and October including Oceania Cruises’ Labor Day upgrade sale which was the most successful holiday promotion in the line’s history, a new World Cruise opening day booking record for Regent Seven Seas Cruises’ 2023 World Cruise and a new all-time largest single booking day in Regent’s history with the launch of its 2022-2023 Voyage Collection.

To provide additional flexibility to its guests, the Company has also extended its modified final payment schedule for all voyages through April 30, 2021which requires final payment 60 days prior to embarkation versus the standard 120 days.

As of September 30, 2020, the Company had $1.2 billion of advance ticket sales, including the long-term portion of advance ticket sales, which includes approximately $0.85 billion of future cruise credits.

COVID-19 Financial Action Plan

The Company continues to take swift, proactive measures to mitigate the financial and operational impacts of COVID-19. This financial action plan includes previously implemented cost reduction and cash conservation levers which include reducing operating and capital expenditures, improving the Company’s debt maturity profile and securing additional capital. As of September 30, 2020, the Company’s total debt position was $10.9 billionand the Company’s cash and cash equivalents was $2.4 billion. The Company was in compliance with all debt covenants as of September 30, 2020.

The Company has taken the following additional actions since June 30, 2020:

  • In July 2020, the Company closed on a series of capital market transactions resulting in $1.5 billion of gross proceeds. The triple-tranche transaction consisted of (i) approximately $288 million public offering of common equity, (ii) $450 million of 5.375% exchangeable senior notes and (iii) $750 million of 10.25% senior secured notes, the proceeds of which were used in part to repay the existing $675 million short-term revolving credit facility.
  • Extended workforce furloughs.
  • Extended 20% salary reduction for all shoreside team members.
  • Continued significant reductions or deferrals of near-term marketing expenses. Marketing investments are focused on second half of 2021 and beyond, consistent with the planned gradual resumption of voyages.   

The Company's monthly average cash burn rate for the third quarter 2020 was approximately $150 million. For comparative purposes, assuming vessels remain at minimum manning status, fourth quarter 2020 average cash burn rate would be higher at approximately $175 million per month, primarily driven by the timing of interest expense. For the second half of 2020, this would result in an average monthly cash burn rate of approximately $160 million, in line with the Company’s previously disclosed target rate during voyage suspensions. This cash burn rate and estimate includes ongoing ship operating expenses, administrative operating expenses, interest expense, taxes and expected capital expenditures and excludes cash refunds of customer deposits as well as cash inflows from new and existing bookings, other working capital changes, voyage resumption preparation costs and unforeseen expenses. This cash burn rate and estimate also reflects the deferral of debt amortization and newbuild related payments through March 31, 2021.

Due to the fluidity of the voyage resumption schedule and associated expenses, the Company estimates its actual cash burn rate for the fourth quarter 2020 will be higher than the comparative number referenced above. Average monthly cash burn is expected to increase as vessels are prepared to return to service due to additional costs associated with re-staffing, re-positioning and provisioning of vessels, implementation of new health and safety protocols and a disciplined ramp-up of demand-generating marketing investments. 

“We are focused on positioning the Company to not only withstand an extended COVID-19 disruption but to emerge from this period with a clear path for long-term financial recovery,” said Mark A. Kempa, executive vice president and chief financial officer of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. “Our swift actions to adapt to this unprecedented environment by reducing costs, conserving cash and enhancing our liquidity profile will bolster our efforts to navigate through COVID-19, relaunch our vessels and, over the longer-term, optimize our balance sheet and resume our consistent track record of strong financial performance.”

Third Quarter 2020 Results

GAAP net income (loss) was $(677.4) million or EPS of $(2.50) compared to $450.6 million or $2.09 in the prior year. The Company reported Adjusted Net Income (Loss) of $(638.7) million or Adjusted EPS of $(2.35), in 2020, which included $38.6 million of adjustments primarily consisting of expenses related to non-cash compensation and losses on extinguishment and modifications of debt. This compares to Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS of $481.5 million and $2.23, respectively, in 2019, which included $30.9 million of adjustments primarily consisting of expenses related to non-cash compensation.

Revenue decreased to $6.5 million compared to $1.9 billion in 2019 due to the complete suspension of voyages in the quarter.

Total cruise operating expense decreased 80.8% in 2020 compared to 2019. In 2020, our cruise operating expenses were primarily related to crew costs, including salaries, food and other repatriation costs, fuel, and other ongoing costs such as insurance and ship maintenance.

Fuel price per metric ton, net of hedges increased to $592 from $504 in 2019. The Company reported fuel expense of $48.2 million in the period. In addition, a net loss of $11.9 million was recorded in other income (expense), net primarily related to the de-designation of fuel hedges as a result of a reduction in forecasted fuel consumption resulting from voyage cancellations due to COVID-19.

Interest expense, net was $139.7 million in 2020 compared to $60.2 million in 2019. The change in interest expense reflects additional debt outstanding at higher interest rates, partially offset by lower LIBOR. Included in 2020 were losses on extinguishment of debt and debt modification costs of $6.6 million.

Other income (expense), net was expense of $23.7 million in 2020 compared to income of $10.3 million in 2019. In 2020, the expense primarily related to losses on foreign currency exchange and losses on fuel hedges recognized in earnings. A $11.9 million net loss was recorded in the quarter primarily related to the de-designation of fuel hedges as a result of a reduction in forecasted fuel consumption resulting from voyage cancellations due to COVID-19.

2020 Outlook

As a consequence of COVID-19, while the Company cannot estimate the impact on its business, financial condition or near- or longer-term financial or operational results with certainty, it will report a net loss on both a U.S. GAAP and adjusted basis for the fourth quarter and the year ending December 31, 2020.

As of September 30, 2020, the Company had hedged approximately 59%, 37% and 13% of its total projected metric tons of fuel consumption for 2021, 2022 and 2023, respectively. The following table provides amounts hedged and price per barrel of heavy fuel oil (“HFO”) which is hedged utilizing U.S. Gulf Coast 3% (“USGC”) and marine gas oil (“MGO”) which is hedged utilizing Gasoil.

      2021                           
2022
     
2023
 
% of HFO Consumption Hedged     55 %     19 %     0 %
Average USGC Price / Barrel   $ 46.16     $ 48.36   N/A  
% of MGO Consumption Hedged     61 %     49 %     22 %
Average Gasoil Price / Barrel   $ 80.94     $ 70.00     $ 67.45  

Anticipated total capital expenditures for fourth quarter 2020 are approximately $150 million which includes additional health and safety investments. The Company is not providing capital expenditure guidance for future years at this time given the uncertain and evolving current environment. The impacts of COVID-19 on the shipyards where the Company’s ships are under construction, or will be constructed, have resulted in some minor delays in ship deliveries, and the impact of COVID-19 could result in additional delays in ship deliveries in the future, which may be prolonged.  

Conference Call

The Company has scheduled a conference call for Tuesday, November 10, 2020 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss third quarter 2020 results and provide a business update. A link to the live webcast along with a slide presentation can be found on the Company’s Investor Relations website at www.nclhltdinvestor.com. A replay of the conference call will also be available on the website for 30 days after the call.

About Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE: NCLH) is a leading global cruise company which operates the Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas Cruises brands. With a combined fleet of 28 ships with approximately 59,150 berths, these brands offer itineraries to more than 490 destinations worldwide. The Company has nine additional ships scheduled for delivery through 2027.

About the Healthy Sail Panel 

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. in collaboration with Royal Caribbean Group established the Healthy Sail Panel (“HSP”), a group of 11 leading experts to help inform the cruise industry in the development of new and enhanced cruise health and safety standards in response to the global COVID-19 pandemic. The HSP, co-chaired by Dr. Scott Gottlieb, former commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and Governor Mike Leavitt, former Secretary of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, consists of globally recognized experts from various disciplines, including public health, infectious disease, biosecurity, hospitality and maritime operations. The panel’s work, including 74 detailed recommendations across five key areas of focus, is informing the Company’s health and safety protocols and has been widely shared with the cruise industry and open to any other industry that could benefit from the HSP’s scientific and medical insights.

Terminology 
Acquisition of Prestige. In November 2014, we acquired Prestige in a cash and stock transaction for total consideration of $3.025 billion, including the assumption of debt.

Adjusted EBITDA. EBITDA adjusted for other income (expense), net and other supplemental adjustments.

Adjusted EPS. Adjusted Net Income (Loss) divided by the number of diluted weighted-average shares outstanding.

Adjusted Net Cruise Cost Excluding Fuel. Net Cruise Cost less fuel expense adjusted for supplemental adjustments.

Adjusted Net Income (Loss). Net income (loss) adjusted for supplemental adjustments.

Berths. Double occupancy capacity per cabin (single occupancy per studio cabin) even though many cabins can accommodate three or more passengers.

Capacity Days. Available Berths multiplied by the number of cruise days for the period.

Constant Currency. A calculation whereby foreign currency-denominated revenues and expenses in a period are converted at the U.S. dollar exchange rate of a comparable period in order to eliminate the effects of foreign exchange fluctuations.

EBITDA. Earnings before interest, taxes, and depreciation and amortization.

EPS. Diluted earnings (loss) per share.

GAAP. Generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S.

Gross Cruise Cost. The sum of total cruise operating expense and marketing, general and administrative expense.

Net Cruise Cost. Gross Cruise Cost less commissions, transportation and other expense and onboard and other expense.

Net Cruise Cost Excluding Fuel. Net Cruise Cost less fuel expense.

Occupancy Percentage or Load Factor. The ratio of Passenger Cruise Days to Capacity Days. A percentage in excess of 100% indicates that three or more passengers occupied some cabins.

Passenger Cruise Days. The number of passengers carried for the period, multiplied by the number of days in their respective cruises.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

We use certain non-GAAP financial measures, such as Net Cruise Cost, Adjusted Net Cruise Cost Excluding Fuel, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS, to enable us to analyze our performance. See “Terminology” for the definitions of these and other non-GAAP financial measures. We utilize Net Cruise Cost and Adjusted Net Cruise Cost Excluding Fuel to manage our business on a day-to-day basis. In measuring our ability to control costs in a manner that positively impacts net income, we believe changes in Net Cruise Cost and Adjusted Net Cruise Cost Excluding Fuel to be the most relevant indicators of our performance. As a result of our voluntary suspension of sailings during the second and third quarters of 2020, we did not have any Capacity Days. Accordingly, we have not presented herein per Capacity Day data for the three or nine months ended September 30, 2020.

As our business includes the sourcing of passengers and deployment of vessels outside of the U.S., a portion of our revenue and expenses are denominated in foreign currencies, particularly British pound, Canadian dollar, euro and Australian dollar, which are subject to fluctuations in currency exchange rates versus our reporting currency, the U.S. dollar. In order to monitor results excluding these fluctuations, we calculate certain non-GAAP measures on a Constant Currency basis, whereby current period revenue and expenses denominated in foreign currencies are converted to U.S. dollars using currency exchange rates of the comparable period. We believe that presenting these non-GAAP measures on both a reported and Constant Currency basis is useful in providing a more comprehensive view of trends in our business.

We believe that Adjusted EBITDA is appropriate as a supplemental financial measure as it is used by management to assess operating performance. We also believe that Adjusted EBITDA is a useful measure in determining our performance as it reflects certain operating drivers of our business, such as sales growth, operating costs, marketing, general and administrative expense and other operating income and expense. Adjusted EBITDA is not a defined term under GAAP nor is it intended to be a measure of liquidity or cash flows from operations or a measure comparable to net income, as it does not take into account certain requirements such as capital expenditures and related depreciation, principal and interest payments and tax payments and it includes other supplemental adjustments.

Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS are non-GAAP financial measures that exclude certain amounts and are used to supplement GAAP net income and EPS. We use Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS as key performance measures of our earnings performance. We believe that both management and investors benefit from referring to these non-GAAP financial measures in assessing our performance and when planning, forecasting and analyzing future periods. These non-GAAP financial measures also facilitate management’s internal comparison to our historical performance. In addition, management uses Adjusted EPS as a performance measure for our incentive compensation. The amounts excluded in the presentation of these non-GAAP financial measures may vary from period to period; accordingly, our presentation of Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS and Adjusted EBITDA, may not be indicative of future adjustments or results. For example, for the nine months ended September 30, 2019, we incurred $30.6 million related to the redeployment of Norwegian Joy from Asia to the U.S. We included this as an adjustment in the reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income since the expenses are not representative of our day-to-day operations however, this adjustment did not occur and is not included in the comparative period presented within this release.

You are encouraged to evaluate each adjustment used in calculating our non-GAAP financial measures and the reasons we consider our non-GAAP financial measures appropriate for supplemental analysis. In evaluating our non-GAAP financial measures, you should be aware that in the future we may incur expenses similar to the adjustments in our presentation. Our non-GAAP financial measures have limitations as analytical tools, and you should not consider these measures in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results as reported under GAAP. Our presentation of our non-GAAP financial measures should not be construed as an inference that our future results will be unaffected by unusual or non-recurring items. Our non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to other companies. Please see a historical reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measure presented in our consolidated financial statements below.

Edited by mrlevin
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6 minutes ago, Pcardad said:

I am telling you...Regent is going to sail sooner than most expect.

I sure hope so.  We paid our FP on the January 14 Miami to Miami.  Expecting Regent may reduce cruise to seven days,  we will find out over the next month.

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I listened to whole conference call; I think the chance of my 31 May Navigator cruise sailing has dropped even more.  Sounded like they weren't going to even do test simulated cruises until January and that would be only one ship.  From my perspective Explorer and Voyager will not be cruising until next summer (at earliest) and Navigator is hopeful for Grand Arctic.  FdR definitely said it would be last half of 2021 before all ships are sailing.

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2 hours ago, Ladys Mom said:

I sure hope so.  We paid our FP on the January 14 Miami to Miami.  Expecting Regent may reduce cruise to seven days,  we will find out over the next month.

Sorry to say that based on all of the requirements that need to be met plus Marc's take on the earnings call with only the first ship doing a simulation cruise until January unfortunately believe your chances of siling on Jan 14 on a more than 7 day Miami to Miami cruise are Slim to none and Slim has already left the building. 

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1 minute ago, rallydave said:

Sorry to say that based on all of the requirements that need to be met plus Marc's take on the earnings call with only the first ship doing a simulation cruise until January unfortunately believe your chances of siling on Jan 14 on a more than 7 day Miami to Miami cruise are Slim to none and Slim has already left the building. 

I agree but on can always dream.

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  • 4 weeks later...

Sorry if already posted - I believe this is on the NCL board as well.  I don't know that this is either unexpected or a sign of the apocalypse.  But I do think no line is quite out of the woods yet, even if all medical vaccinations and treatments of COVID go spectacularly well.  But that could be said of so many industries also, IMO.

 

Royal Caribbean, Norwegian Cruise Line Are Put on Credit Watch Over Extended Suspensions | Barron's

 

 

Edited by greykitty
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  • 1 month later...

Has anyone compiled a list of which Regent (and Oceania and NCL) ships are unencumbered?  As it is looking less likely that there will be any cruising until the fall of 2021 (or later), burn rate is going to really start to matter and NCLH may be forced to divest itself of ships.  Without possibly upsetting financing agreements, it seems that unencumbered ships would be easiest to sell.

 

thoughts?

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6 minutes ago, mrlevin said:

Has anyone compiled a list of which Regent (and Oceania and NCL) ships are unencumbered?  As it is looking less likely that there will be any cruising until the fall of 2021 (or later), burn rate is going to really start to matter and NCLH may be forced to divest itself of ships.  Without possibly upsetting financing agreements, it seems that unencumbered ships would be easiest to sell.

 

thoughts?

Don't know what difference it makes if a ship is encumbered unless the amount owned is more than the ship could sell for so you are really only looking for those ships that have a positive value if sold. No reason why a ship that is still encumbered cannot be sold with the sale paying off the encumbrance.

 

That said, would expect the 4 newer ships, Explorer, Splendor, Riviera and Marina are still encumbered.  As to the 7 other older ships no way to really know without knowledge of financials.  Probably buried in the required SEC filings.

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2 hours ago, Pcardad said:

You don't sell these to increase capital, you sell them to increase cash flow by reducing debt. From an accounting standpoint, it makes sense to leverage your assets.

While I agree with your comment selling of a ship without debt also increases cash flow immediately while your assessment only adds cash flow as payments no longer have to be paid so back to my original though that it really doesn't make a lot of difference financially which ships encumbered or not would be sold.  Certainly other reasons why specific ships should be sold but, don't now believe debt makes much if any difference.  

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  • 5 months later...

Stock down 30%, only one out of 28 NCLH ships with paying customers, is it time to start talking about reorganization and its impact on forthcoming cruises?

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Posted (edited)
On 5/5/2020 at 8:11 AM, sierrafloridacruiser said:

Very depressing. Especially for those of us awaiting substantial refunds from Regent-cancelled cruises. 

 

Edited by TomBeckCruise
Missed date.
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3 hours ago, mrlevin said:

Stock down 30%, only one out of 28 NCLH ships with paying customers, is it time to start talking about reorganization and its impact on forthcoming cruises?

Not at all. Covid depressing market in general and all travel and transport stocks. Good time to buy!

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Unfortunately, COVID is making another comeback with a different variant. Here in the Austin area we are back into stage 4 and rising rapidly. The local health department is now recommending masks for both vaccinated and non vaccinated both indoors and outdoors unless socially distancing. We are seeing rapid rises in cases throughout the world even in Australia where they have essentially shut themselves out from the rest of the world. As Yogi Berra once said, ”it ain’t over til it’s over”. I don’t think many of the cruise lines will be able to weather another longer term cancellation.

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With over 98% of those cases being non-vaxers it would seem that there would be no need for a long term cancellation if non-vaxers are simply not allowed on board. 

 

If this is really that much of an issue, the vax will soon be required everywhere and then it will no longer be that much of an issue.

 

Not worried either way...may just buy a boat and retire/live on it.

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