Jump to content

Sam - Atlantic - September 23


PelicanBill
 Share

Recommended Posts

There is a lot of variance in the track models. But intensity shows category 2 for sure and forecasts have decided on category 3 in 2 days. Forecast track misses the islands but Bermuda is right in it's sights.

image.png.490686c9b4ae32e5fa9cfee4e0a3f9d4.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

No change really.  Expected to be Category 3 by tomorrow 5pm EDT.

Path is very close to Bermuda.

Worried for the first 2 sailings of NCL Breakaway from NYC to Bermuda.

In 5 days it is forecast to be Category 3 but still located east of the Turks & Caicos, so pretty far from Bermuda. So there is time for her to get in to Bermuda, but she may be chased away early as Sam approaches. I think the timing works for Breakaway's days before and after turnaround in NYC so the storm will have passed by and be well away before returning for the second visit.

image.png.89b4b3fb5d7ecb78a79d2769fbd7bd72.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Duke95 said:

Edge is supposed to be in St Thomas on Tuesday and St Maarten on Wednesday. Little wobble south and that St Maarten day is iffy.

I was about to research ships in those areas. St. Maarten is iffy no matter what. It's awful close for a ship to sail. We shall see.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Teresa is north northeast of Bermuda right now and will be heading out to sea by this Sunday. No issue for us. Sam needs to be watched closely. Too much uncertainly after day 5, Sept 29.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sam looks dangerous. Remains category 4 for a couple days and Category 3 through Friday. Heading toward Bermuda which could disrupt a few cruises next weekend.

 

Still possible to threaten port calls in St. Maarten or area mid-week, but is staying pretty well NE of the islands.

 

image.png.cec9a3cdaa145bd5749bec90b957d625.png

Edited by PelicanBill
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sam is stronger today at 130 mph and remaining strong several more days as it passes Bermuda, which looks to be well east now.  The main impact will be very high surf - 20-25'.  Even the east coast of the USA will be seeing 10-15' surf.

 

 

CC is not letting me upload an image.

 

 

 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sam is spinning away. Such a powerful storm, still category 4 all week and into tomorrow!  Finally expected to start losing steam but a slow mover too. Still a hurricane in 5 days? That would be 12 days!

image.png.400ee08f3a485bfe0985a6531f66059b.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here's why Breakaway left Bermuda early today. Tropical storm force winds so close to the island, and remember the channel exits to the northeast of the island.  And such a narrow channel - imagine if you were trying to get through that in 15-25 foot seas!

 

image.png.e09c80b9ef33c77cda13bc0d9dba3ebe.png

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, PelicanBill said:

Here's why Breakaway left Bermuda early today. Tropical storm force winds so close to the island, and remember the channel exits to the northeast of the island.  And such a narrow channel - imagine if you were trying to get through that in 15-25 foot seas!

 

I have had two cruises that included Bermuda as a port of call and was surprised to see the channel that ships have to use to enter and leave the port.  As you indicated, it's not a "straight shot" out of the Great Sound and the channel was surprisingly narrow.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Forum Jump
    • Categories
      • Forum Assistance
      • Cruise Critic Live Special Event: Q&A with American Queen Voyages
      • New Cruisers
      • Cruise Lines “A – O”
      • Cruise Lines “P – Z”
      • River Cruising
      • ROLL CALLS
      • Digital Photography & Cruise Technology
      • Special Interest Cruising
      • Cruise Discussion Topics
      • UK Cruising
      • Australia & New Zealand Cruisers
      • Canadian Cruisers
      • North American Homeports
      • Ports of Call
      • Cruise Conversations
×
×
  • Create New...