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CoachTerry14

Hurricane Ike

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you know, we can all glue ourselves to the weather channel and imagine what will happen if thus and so develops, or we can relax for a few days and see if anything develops. It appears the storms we worry the most about just go away or never reach the level we all hear they will and those who appear to be pretty harmless hit land with a bang. Any storm 1/2 way between us and Africa can do almost anything. Unless you live in the path of what could be a disaster, why not find something else to keep your mind occupied. I have 2 kids in FLorida, one in Orlando. She and her husband are about to leave for a 12 day trip to Greece. Is she concerned about Hanna? sure to some degree, but she is not going to let it spoil her plans. Our son is just outside Destin. He is prepared for anything, but not dwelling on what could happen.

 

Nita

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Just think, we're only halfway through the season. We still have 3 entire months left! Ugh!

 

Latest Guidance has Josephine as a fish storm. Upper level conditions in the mid-atlantic may change around 9/10 and help recurve these storms out to Sea well east of BDA. Hopefully !!!!

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I know what you mean Minnie! OMG I can't stop watching the news, reading these boards, looking at hurricane predictor 'maps', etc. ... I think I'm going to go crazy!!!!

 

Hope to see you on board the Mariner on 9/7!!!!

 

Keep those fingers and toes crossed! :confused:

 

;) I have been doing the exact same thing:p

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Historically, you are correct. We currently have a subtropical ridge that is north of Ike in the mid Atlantic which is building westward. Ike is Forecated to be a possible Cat 3 north of Haiti on Sat. Model Guidance is high on positioning (Location) for the next 96 Hours and ????? on intensity.

Again, conditions can change.

 

 

I wonder if this will impend the Mariner from coming home Sat night/Sun Morning:(

so many unknowns.....;)

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I wonder if this will impend the Mariner from coming home Sat night/Sun Morning:(

so many unknowns.....;)

 

Logistical nightmare for all :(

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I have a question that I hope you can answer. Everyone on our roll call is just hoping we can get on the Glory on Saturday, after hanna and before Ike. But is the Glory going to have trouble returning fron the Eastern with the projected path of Ike? I know you cannot give a 100% answer just you opinion as things stand now. Thanks.

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I have a question that I hope you can answer. Everyone on our roll call is just hoping we can get on the Glory on Saturday, after hanna and before Ike. But is the Glory going to have trouble returning fron the Eastern with the projected path of Ike? I know you cannot give a 100% answer just you opinion as things stand now. Thanks.

 

We are all in the same boat....I am not sure where Glory goes from, but we are going on Mariner out of Pt Canaveral....and Mariner is on an Eastern this week too....

we are all waiting to see if our ships will get home and we will get out.:(

I am for the night...will check in with you guys in the morning :)

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Oh, the ignorance of a West Coast girl. I wish I had understood hurricane season prior to booking my cruise. :(

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Hey Firelt5....

I am looking for your knowledgable insight today;)

So I think we may make our flight into Charlotte on Sat (please cross fingers for us)

and I think we may get on Mariner on Sunday...but...

where are we going to go:confused: :confused:

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I know I'm not worried about Hanna or Ike I'm worried about Josephine. I hope her path continues up toward the East Coast. We leave for Miami on Sep. 11th and our cruise leaves Sep. 14th. So I'm hoping Josephine will not be around Florida :confused:

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I know I'm not worried about Hanna or Ike I'm worried about Josephine. I hope her path continues up toward the East Coast. We leave for Miami on Sep. 11th and our cruise leaves Sep. 14th. So I'm hoping Josephine will not be around Florida :confused:

 

The NHC has "Low" Skills in tracking CV type cyclones.

Josephine "May ?????" be a fish storm and never reach land ????? Only time will tell. ????

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do you think Ike is going to continue west after the 5 day forecast or go north???:confused:

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From what I was reading last night it looked like Ike was going to head West and the report specifically named Hispanola which is the RCCL private beach - Labadee.

 

Who knows at this point. All of these maps are making me dizzy.

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From what I was reading last night it looked like Ike was going to head West and the report specifically named Hispanola which is the RCCL private beach - Labadee.

 

Who knows at this point. All of these maps are making me dizzy.

Michele....where is your Disney cruise going?

We are on Mariner on Sunday...we go Labadee, Jam, Cayman, Cozumel...

but at this point with Ike in the way...no clue where we will end up:confused:

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I am actually concerned for the real possibility of a problem with our cruise.

If we leave Pt Canaveral on Sunday evening and Monday is a sea day....how are we supposed to get anywhere South with a cat 3 hurricane in the way???

What do you experts think...I am beginning to feel the stress. :(

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I am actually concerned for the real possibility of a problem with our cruise.

If we leave Pt Canaveral on Sunday evening and Monday is a sea day....how are we supposed to get anywhere South with a cat 3 hurricane in the way???

What do you experts think...I am beginning to feel the stress. :(

 

It all depends on the future path of IKE. If Ike is near Cuba or Haiti, I predict an eastern Carribean Itin for your Sailing. It's a wait and see game. We are on 2 cruises from up here in NJ to BDA and Canada within 6 weeks. I feel your pain. We will update this site with some more info if anyone is interested.

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I am actually concerned for the real possibility of a problem with our cruise.

If we leave Pt Canaveral on Sunday evening and Monday is a sea day....how are we supposed to get anywhere South with a cat 3 hurricane in the way???

 

What do you experts think...I am beginning to feel the stress. :(

 

Minnie,

Gosh, I'm still trying to be hopeful! haha Maybe are sea day on Monday can be spent going around (eastward) Ike and then waiting for it to be past Haiti by Tuesday, and we can continue our cruise as scheduled. OR if we can sneak by (westward) Ike on Sunday/Monday, we can head towards the Western Caribbean and just do our ports backwards. I'll be happy if we just went to Grand Cayman - I'm doing the Moby Dick Sting Ray tour and I'm sooooo looking forward to it! :)

I just hope we can get on the Mariner! I can't wait to see her! :D

Krissy

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000

Wtnt34 Knhc 032046

Tcpat4

Bulletin

Hurricane Ike Advisory Number 10

Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al092008

500 Pm Ast Wed Sep 03 2008

 

...ike Becomes The Fifth Hurricane Of The 2008 Atlantic Season...

 

At 500 Pm Ast...2100z...the Center Of Hurricane Ike Was Located Near

Latitude 21.6 North...longitude 52.7 West Or About 670 Miles...1080

Km...east-northeast Of The Leeward Islands.

 

Ike Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 18 Mph...30

Km/hr....and This General Motion Is Expected To Continue Tonight

And Early Thursday...followed By A Turn To The West On Thursday

Night And Friday...taking Ike Over The Open Waters Of The

West-central Atlantic During The Next Couple Of Days. It Is Too

Early To Determine What If Any Land Areas Might Eventually Be

Affected By Ike.

 

Maximum Sustained Winds Have Increased To Near 80 Mph...130

Km/hr...with Higher Gusts. Ike Is A Category One Hurricane On The

Saffir-simpson Hurricane Scale. Some Additional Strengthening Is

Forecast During The Next Day Or Two.

 

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 35 Miles...55 Km...from

The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 160

Miles...260 Km.

 

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 984 Mb...29.06 Inches.

 

Repeating The 500 Pm Ast Position...21.6 N...52.7 W. Movement

Toward...west-northwest Near 18 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...80

Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...984 Mb.

 

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At

1100 Pm Ast.

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Michele....where is your Disney cruise going?

 

We are on Mariner on Sunday...we go Labadee, Jam, Cayman, Cozumel...

 

but at this point with Ike in the way...no clue where we will end up:confused:

 

We'll be in Walt Disney World for 6 days before we leave on the Wonder on the 11th. Then we are going to Nassau and Castaway Cay (Disney's island) - so both Bahamas

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CNN just had wolf blitzer mention that Ike may turn into a BIG category 4 in a few days....i looked at weather.com and cnn.com but they haven't updated it yet...neither has the weather channel....but Wolf just took time out of the convention to talk to a CNN weather guy about it...

 

 

FYI

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Becomes The Third Major Hurricane Of The Season...

 

At 800 Pm Ast...0000z...the Eye Of Hurricane Ike Was Located Near

Latitude 21.7 North...longitude 53.2 West Or About 645 Miles...1035

Km...east-northeast Of The Leeward Islands.

 

Ike Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 18 Mph...30 Km/hr...and

This General Motion Is Expected To Continue Tonight And Early

Thursday...followed By A Turn To The West On Thursday Night And

Friday...taking Ike Over The Open Waters Of The West-central

Atlantic During The Next Couple Of Days. It Is Too Early To

Determine What If Any Land Areas Might Eventually Be Affected By

Ike.

 

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 115 Mph...185 Km/hr...with Higher

Gusts. Ike Is A Dangerous Category Third Hurricane On The

Saffir-simpson Hurricane Scale. Some Fluctuations In Intensity

Are Expected During The Next Day Or Two.

 

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 35 Miles...55 Km...from

The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 160

Miles...260 Km.

 

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 960 Mb...28.35 Inches.

 

Repeating The 800 Pm Ast Position...21.7 N...53.2 W. Movement

Toward...west-northwest Near 18 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...115

Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...960 Mb.

 

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At

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I'm really curious as to what will happen with our cruise now. We're leaving Tampa on Sunday and are supposed to have Monday at sea, Tuesday is Grand Cayman, then I can't remember the order, but Roatan, Cozumel and Belize followed after that, with Saturday being another at sea day.....

 

With Ike being projected to go into the Gulf......what's going to happen?

 

Another fear is that IF Ike takes a northern turn.....it's going to our HOME! ACK!!!

 

But....what's your guess about what will happen to us on our cruise next week?

 

Jennifer

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I'm really curious as to what will happen with our cruise now. We're leaving Tampa on Sunday and are supposed to have Monday at sea, Tuesday is Grand Cayman, then I can't remember the order, but Roatan, Cozumel and Belize followed after that, with Saturday being another at sea day.....

 

With Ike being projected to go into the Gulf......what's going to happen?

 

Another fear is that IF Ike takes a northern turn.....it's going to our HOME! ACK!!!

 

But....what's your guess about what will happen to us on our cruise next week?

 

Jennifer

 

Within 24 Hours the models should have some better guidance on location.

It wouldn't be fair to guess with a potential Cat 5 Cyclone.

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