HURRICANE RITA Public Advisory

000

Wtnt33 Knhc 220249

Tcpat3

Bulletin

Hurricane Rita Advisory Number 18...corrected

Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl

10 Pm Cdt Wed Sep 21 2005

Corrected Rainfall Statement For Southern Louisiana

...category Five Rita Continuing To Strengthen Over The Central

Gulf Of Mexico...

A Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect For The Gulf Of Mexico Coast

From Port Mansfield Texas To Cameron Louisiana. A Hurricane Warning

May Be Required For Portions Of The Hurricane Watch Area Thursday

Morning.

A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect On Either Side Of The

Hurricane Watch Area... From East Of Cameron To Grand Isle

Louisiana... And From South Of Port Mansfield To Brownsville Texas.

A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For The Northeastern Coast

Of Mexico From Rio San Fernando Northward To The Rio Grande.

A Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Possible

Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours. A Tropical Storm

Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The

Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

Interests In The Northwestern Gulf Of Mexico Should Monitor The

Progress Of Potentially Catastrophic Hurricane Rita.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible

Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued

By Your Local Weather Office.

At 10 Pm Cdt...0300z...the Center Of Hurricane Rita Was Located Near

Latitude 24.6 North... Longitude 87.2 West Or About 570 Miles...

915 Km... East-southeast Of Galveston Texas And About 670 Miles...

1080 Km...east-southeast Of Corpus Christi Texas.

Rita Is Moving Toward The West Near 9 Mph ...15 Km/hr...and This

General Motion At A Slightly Faster Forward Speed Is Expected

During The Next 24 Hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 175 Mph...280 Km/hr...with Higher

Gusts. Rita Is A Potentially Catastrophic Category Five Hurricane On

The Saffir-simpson Scale. Some Fluctuations In Intensity Are Likely

During The Next 24 Hours.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 70 Miles...110 Km...

From The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up

To 185 Miles...295 Km.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 897 Mb...26.49 Inches.

This Means Rita Is The Third Most Intense Hurricane In Terms Of

Pressure In The Atlantic Basin.

Tides Are Currently Running Near Normal Along The Mississippi And

Louisiana Coasts In The Areas Affected By Katrina. Tides In Those

Areas Will Increase Up To 3 To 4 Feet And Be Accompanied By Large

Waves Over The Next 24 Hours... And Residents There Could

Experience Some Coastal Flooding.

Heavy Rains Associated With Rita Are Forecast To Begin To Affect The

Western And Central Gulf Of Mexico Coastal Areas Thursday Night

Into Friday. Rita Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall

Accumulations Of 8 To 12 Inches With Isolated Maximum Amounts Of

15 Inches Over The Central To Upper Texas Coast. Rainfall Amounts

Of 2 To 4 Inches Will Be Possible Across Southern Louisiana...

Including The New Orleans Metropolitan Area. After Rita Moves

Inland...total Rain Accumulations Of 5 To 10 Inches Will Be

Possible Over Eastern Texas... And Central And Eastern Oklahoma

During Saturday And Sunday.

Repeating The 10 Pm Cdt Position...24.6 N... 87.2 W. Movement

Toward...west Near 9 Mph. Maximum Sustained

Winds...175 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure... 897 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National

Hurricane Center At 1 Am Cdt Followed By The Next

Complete Advisory At 4 Am Cdt.

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__________________

Hi All..... Just wanted to post an update to the advisory.

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000

WTNT33 KNHC 221138

TCPAT3

BULLETIN

HURRICANE RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

7 AM CDT THU SEP 22 2005

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE RITA OVER THE CENTRAL GULF

OF MEXICO...SLIGHT WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED TODAY.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST

FROM PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A

HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE

HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN

COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE

MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL

STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT

24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ON EITHER SIDE OF THE

HURRICANE WATCH AREA...FROM EAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY

LOUISIANA...AND FROM SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST

OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE

WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM

WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE

WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE

PROGRESS OF POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE RITA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST OR ABOUT 490 MILES

SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 595 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF

CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS GENERAL

MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 170 MPH WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. THIS MAKES RITA A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY

FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. A SLOW WEAKENING TREND

IS FORECAST BUT RITA IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST LATE FRIDAY OR

EARLY SATURDAY AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...AT LEAST CATEGORY THREE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE

CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

TO 185 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY A HURRICANE

HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 907 MB...26.78 INCHES.

TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE

MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA COASTS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA.

TIDES IN THOSE AREAS WILL INCREASE UP TO 3 TO 4 FEET AND BE

ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES...AND RESIDENTS THERE COULD EXPERIENCE

SOME COASTAL FLOODING.

HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH RITA ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO AFFECT THE

WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL AREAS TONIGHT INTO

FRIDAY. RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF

8 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES FROM THE

CENTRAL TEXAS COAST TO SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF

2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA

...INCLUDING THE NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA. AFTER RITA MOVES

INLAND...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE

POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN TEXAS... AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA

DURING SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...25.2 N... 88.3 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...170

MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 907 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT

10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

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__________________

Hey Boo's mom ...hope all is well with your family!

Hi Joey....

All is good.

My city of San Antonio is bracing itself....as we manage the influx of hundreds of thousands of "visitors".

God is good !

Always has been... do you guys think the River walk could flood from all the rain?.. Have they said how many inches you guys are expecting?

Joey.... the riverwalk isn't usually a flooding issue. They can control the water going in/out pretty easily.

San Antonio should get hit hard only if the storm makes land in Corpus Christi.

Otherwise, our issue is handling the evacuees.

ps. Don't worry...whenever you visit San Antonio, the Riverwalk and all of its splendor...will be ready for you. ;)

Cool Beans....good seeing you .. glad all is well!

As quoted below:

Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion !

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WTNT33 KNHC 221454

TCPAT3

BULLETIN

HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 20

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

10 AM CDT THU SEP 22 2005

...RITA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BUT FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AS

A DANGEROUS HURRICANE...

...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PORT

O'CONNOR TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS

THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA

WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND

PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM

SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM

WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA

EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A

TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM

NORTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE

PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE

PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH

OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN

COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES...740

KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 445 MILES...715 KM...

SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A

GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36

HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 165 MPH...270

KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING

THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT RITA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AN EXTREMELY

DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...

FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 907 MB...26.78 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE

EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE

MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA COASTS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA.

TIDES IN THOSE AREAS WILL INCREASE UP TO 3 TO 4 FEET AND BE

ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES...AND RESIDENTS THERE COULD EXPERIENCE

SOME COASTAL FLOODING.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM 15

INCH TOTAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF RITA PARTICULARLY OVER

SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA. IN ADDITION...RAINFALL

AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA

INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS. BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK...RAINFALL

TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AFTER RITA MOVES INLAND.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...25.4 N... 88.7 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165

MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 907 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM

CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

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Hurricane RITA Public Advisory

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US Watch/Warning 000WTNT33 KNHC 222049TCPAT3BULLETINHURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 21NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL4 PM CDT THU SEP 22 2005...DANGEROUS HURRICANE RITA GRADUALLY HEADING TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTLOUISIANA AND UPPER TEXAS COASTS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO MORGANCITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONSARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TOCOMPLETION. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FORNORTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THEPEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKEPONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THESOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OFTHE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS ANDLAKE PONTCHARTRAIN....AND FROM SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO PORTMANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICALSTORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THENEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STROM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF PORTMANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OFMEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEARLATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST OR ABOUT 405 MILES...650 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 390 MILES... 630KM...SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. AGRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF RITA WILL BE APPROACHING THESOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST LATE FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. RITA IS A EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THESAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UPTO 205 MILES...335 KM. ANYTROPICAL STROM FORCE WINDS IN THE NEWORLEANS AREA ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO A FEW SQUALLSASSOCIATED WITH QUICKLY MOVING RAINBANDS. AT 3 PM CDT...A NOAA BUOYREPORTED A 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 89 MPH...143 KM/HR WITH A GUSTTO 112 MPH...180 KM/HR. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 913 MB...26.96 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDELEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BEEXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THELOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED BYKATRINA. TIDES IN THOSE AREAS WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET AND BEACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES...AND RESIDENTS THERE COULD EXPERIENCECOASTAL FLOODING. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM 15INCH TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF RITA OVER SOUTHEAST TEXASAND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AS IT MOVES INLAND. BASED ON THEFORECAST TRACK...TOTALS ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES AREPOSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS THE SYSTEM SLOWS DOWN. INADDITION...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVERSOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...25.8 N... 89.5 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 913 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANECENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PMCDT. FORECASTER AVILA