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About Builder31

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  1. Am I wrong to think no cruise ship will sail until there is a vaccine? Even if covid numbers peak and start to come down. Even if only a handful of people in the US have the disease it can spread again, right? So isn’t that 12-18 months of shut down? I just don’t see how any of the cruise lines can survive that. I hope I’m wrong. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  2. The problem is the banks are going to be in an even worse position this time. As the unemployment rate spikes millions will not be able to pay their mortgage. In the financial crisis it wasn’t this bad for the airlines, hotels, restaurateurs, etc. Even with the current monetary policy there is not enough $ to go around to provide liquidity for every industry. Yes the ships are going to be sailing once they are able. But if they declare chapter 11 then the common stock holders are likely wiped out. Bankruptcy doesn’t mean RCL shuts down. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  3. IMO cruise industry will not get a bailout. Every business in the US is going to need assistance or a bailout. Cruise industry is near the bottom of the list due to the reasons mentioned. I’m a frequent cruiser and would oppose a bailout unless all ships were to be registered in the US and the companies started paying US taxes. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  4. Short interest ratio is only 2.5. It’s not really being shorted. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  5. I doubt there will be enough $ for a cruise bailout. Every industry will need a bailout not to mention all the $ going to the millions that will be out of work. Cruise industry is pretty far down the list. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  6. So you don’t think the cruise lines will follow the guidelines? In many states it is now illegal to have a gathering of more than 10. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  7. All April sailings will get cancelled along with all of May. On Monday the CDC said social distancing needs to last 8 weeks and maybe longer. That alone is middle of May. June is the earliest I think they will resume cruising and if I was betting I would say July. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  8. Anyone buying the stock right now is nuts. There is SO much more bad news to come. Namely the extension of the suspensions. CDC says social distancing should last at least 8 weeks and many say it will last longer. The fact that you can still book a cruise for April 12 out of FL is a joke. June is the best case scenario IMO. And there is no way they will be able to bail out the cruise lines. There is not enough $ to go around. Every industry in the US is going to need help and they are now saying 20% unemployment. That is low IMO. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  9. I think it’s the quarantine that freaks everyone out and gets the media attention. If 1 person on a cruise tests positive the whole ship is quarantined in their tiny room. If 1 person at Disney tests positive, it’s later in a hospital. They don’t pull all 60k people into “It’s a small world” to quarantine them [emoji23] I agree that Disney is not safer. Neither is Costco, Home Depot, etc. The media is just playing on peoples fear of being cooped up in a 140sf space for a couple weeks. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  10. We booked an inside cabin on Oasis 3 weeks ago after a price drop. The price just dropped again and my TA got us a balcony for $10 more. RC tried to tell my TA it was only for new bookings but she got it done.
  11. Bankruptcy or not the cruise industry will not shut down. They aren’t just going to let billions of dollars of assets sit idle. Someone will be operating the ships. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  12. Did he say he called RC? I’ve been making changes via my TA. I’ll continue to upgrade for free as others abandon their cabins. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  13. As a frequent carnival cruiser I’ve used gift cards to pay for cruises (even via a TA), to pay for onboard expenses, tips, even at the casino. It amazes me that a company as large as RC could make it so difficult to use its own gift card. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  14. I looked there. Not showing up for our April 5 cruise. I’ll keep a lookout I guess. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
  15. Wondering if anyone has done the ship tour on oasis and if it was worth it. Seems pricey at $116pp currently. Have never done a ship tour and thought maybe oasis would be a good one to do. Thx. Sent from my iPhone using Forums
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