Oct 10 transpacific people have been doing pretty well. I bid on a sky loft, minimum a few weeks ago, my bid was accepted within a few days, I just saw someone else was successful in our roll call yesterday. I would think success is easier on cruises not sold out, especially if you are in a suite and the bigger ones are open. I would think they want to move everyone up and make some money filling lower cabins with deals as it gets closer. Just a theory that worked for me.