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  1. ... four smaller ships sold, one much larger, to be added in July. Net reduction thee. Sorry if the original: "Four smaller ships sold, one (much) larger one (will be added in July) for an overall fleet reduction of three to 11 ships" was confusing.
  2. A concise summary from Cruise Industry News of HAL's changes in the last year. Four smaller ships sold, one (much) larger one (will be added in July) for an overall fleet reduction of three to 11 ships Net loss of ~2,500 berths, according to CIS. (My math suggests >3,000 fewer berths.) Major management shake-up. And (again my back of the envelope #s) .... average ship capacity up to ~2,060 berths from ~1,840. Smaller ships reduced from six to two.
  3. ... and it will be even better if anyone and everyone who declines to get vaccinated is barred from international travel. No passport, no travel. No vaccination certificate, no travel. No exceptions. Not likely to happen but would be good.
  4. ] Hank is absolutely right. Already there are plenty of countries who (quite reasonably) bar entry to those who fail/decide against/have some ideological objection to basic vaccinations. I've a yellow book full of vaccinations required by a slew of countries and intended to protect their populations. Those who, for whatever reason, are not vaccinated against COVID will be barred from entry by many corporations and countries. So be it. Perhaps there will be, for instance, cruise lines which tout COVID vaccination-free cruises for those with a special sense of ad
  5. ... you can't get on a plane now without a mask. (And that's not a government mandate, it's the airlines being keenly aware of their liability.) Even for a 30 minute flights. Airliners (or more likely their insurers) are going to make sure they don't willfully expose themselves to unnecessary liability by allowing those who won't/don't get vaccinated on their planes. The loss of revenue from barring anti-vaxxers will be trivial compared to the liability from failing to protect paying passengers from a known, preventable and deadly risk. (At least that's my guess ... but maybe you're right
  6. Airlines, like other 'common carriers' are held to a higher standard which requires them the provide safe passage. Knowingly allowing an unvaccinated person on board once a highly-effective vaccine is available would be very risky business practice. Anti-vaxxers can anticipate be banned from flying, going to the theatre, and (maybe) even dining in a restaurant.
  7. ... maybe but I would anticipate the opposite: That, in addition to cruise lines, airlines, theatres, arenas and other places which bring large numbers of people into close proximity may require proof of vaccination. And, if they don't initially, they will the first time they are successfully sued by the family of someone who dies of suffers long-term serious consequences as a result of being infected in such an environment. There's no right to get on a plane or enter a cinema.
  8. ... cruising won't be back until (my guess) ... 1) there's a widely-available vaccine with 90%-plus efficacy and, 2) all passengers (100%) can prove, not just claim, they have been vaccinated. So no anti-vaxers, no exemptions for those with real or imagined reasons why they can't/shouldn't/don't feel like being vaccinated. Even if the regulators aren't quite that strict, the insurers will be. A handful of Covid deaths will wipe 100s of millions off the balance sheets of CCL and others. We are some months, maybe a year, from realistically achieving 1) and 2) in North Ameri
  9. A clear majority of Key West residents, like residents of some other popular ports, have realized that visitor spending is extremely valuable -- probably essential -- to the economy of their cities. But like the residents of Venice and Dubrovnik, they are sick and tired of low-spending, hordes who pour out of massive cruise ships, overwhelm their pedestrian spaces, take a few selfies, perhaps buy a trinket then disappear after a few hours. They add little to the port's coffers and -- in massive numbers -- detract from the ambience and authenticity so prized by residents and visitors who l
  10. Assuming the last two smaller ships are also destined for the auction block or breakers' beach, then HAL will have abandoned the small(er) ships market. Wonder whether that also signals a significant shift in target demographic -- given that so many of HAL's most loyal clients were older and many preferred the now-gone smaller ships. If the four Vistas are the smallest and the elegant explorer crowd must look elsewhere, then HAL seems like just another mid-market line aimed at a middle-aged market. Not too many children, not many onboard activities but nothing special about the itinerarie
  11. Lady Arwen and Sir PMP I truly sorry if I upset you or caused offense. My sincere apologies to you and others if they too were offended. For what its worth, I too am part of the vulnerable cohort that faces a much higher risk of death or serious injury from Covid-19. So my post wasn't aimed at others. Just the opposite. It was a stark assessment (about which you may disagree) about the dire circumstances facing HAL because such a high percentage of its previous clientele are those most vulnerable to Covid-19. In the past that wasn't a high-risk corporate strategy. Quite the opposite. I
  12. HAL going forward: To survive it needs to dump not just its smaller ships but its older, sicker clientele. Unless (and that may be never) a 95% vaccine (like measles) not a 50% vaccine (like flu) exists and potential passengers can be forced to prove they have been vaccinated, then HAL's longstanding focus on an older and thus much more vulnerable demographic is corporate idiocy. Unlike gastro, a Corona outbreak that erupts in a ship full of old and/or especially vulnerable passengers rife with pre-existing conditions -- a plague ship -- could wreck the company. So the next incarnati
  13. Where cruise ships go to die. Sad. But either the breakers' yards or third-tier lines seems the likely fate of all HAL's ships smaller than the Vistas.
  14. From a strategic point of view; CCL has a number of brands and thus options. The corporation is currently in a self-induced coma in life-support mode. Borrowing billions to survive and attempting to limit the running costs of hugely expensive assets (ships) to a minimum. Returning CCL to financial health will require focusing initially on plucking the low-hanging fruit. (Apologies for the mixed metaphor.) And that low-hanging fruit will likely be short cruises aimed at the healthiest segment of the market and therefore those least likely to make headlines with multiple deaths or a
  15. Agreed. And the fact remains that HAL's demographic means it will be among the last to safely resume. And "safely" may mean accepting a higher death rate on board, one tolerable by other cruisers and HAL's insurers.
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