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salty dingo

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About salty dingo

  • Rank
    10,000+ Club

About Me

  • Location
    Charlotte, NC
  • Interests
    cruises and cruising
  • Favorite Cruise Destination Or Port of Call
    Southern Caribbean

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  1. Inflated cruise fares would only occur if demand remained strong. This cruiser is totally done sailing for the foreseeable future, and I suspect I am not alone. So fewer ships combined with weak demand may not result in higher prices. In fact, if the prices did rise, demand would surely fall, and the business model of mass market cruising may no longer work. You can see it in the stock prices now, and I think they could fall a lot more.... perhaps to zero.
  2. Most of the experts I trust say it will be at least a year from now until there is a vaccine that we can actually receive at a clinic. One may be developed way before then, but trials take time to be 100% sure they are safe and effective, and then it takes time to mass produce and distribute them to every person. So Summer 2021 if we are lucky. If the cruise lines sail before there is a vaccine and we all have received it and let it take effect (that's a big IF) then they will most certainly have to implement social distancing measures. It is inconceivable there will pa
  3. A little bewildering why they would set the start up date right at the beginning of the fall Flu season. Don't they know by now if the new virus is this active in the heat of summer it will be a supercharged hot mess come this Fall! Until there is a vaccine and we all have a chance to get it and let it work, it's risky to think about a cruise. If I were holding a booking and being strung along by the cruise line, I'd be pretty mad right now!
  4. I read the article in the Miami Herald. A key recommendation was reduced capacity. If this is actually implemented it will fundamentally alter the cruise business. Since the costs to run the ship are largely the same no matter how many guests are on board, the key to profitability has always been to pack the ships to the brim. If capacity is reduced, one of two results will occur: prices will rise sharply, or earnings (stock prices) will fall sharply. It's pretty simple. Actually both could happen. Prices may be low at first to lure scared cruisers back but it likely wo
  5. I am hearing a lot about a recent rise in new cases. If anything affects the return to service date, I expect it would more likely be delayed than enacted sooner.
  6. You asked the right question. Nobody is sure. Cruise lines have a business model that depends on filling up ships to capacity. Deck, club, and bar space is limited, and spacing must increase. Lots of people who want to do what they want, when they want, will not be able to. What will be the answer? I'm waiting on shore to see. I won't even consider a cruise until I know what the deal will be, and we probably won't know that until after the reviews of the "new cruising world order" are.
  7. Masks are not an issue. Here's why: You can't sip a drink wearing one They still let viruses through for you to catch ill, but they do contain your sneezes and coughs so you do not spread your disease to others Tan lines on your face In all seriousness, there is not enough room on a ship for people to have adequate social distance and the cruise lines to be profitable offering affordable cruises. Until there is a vaccine I would not consider a cruise. No cruise, no mask, no problem.
  8. Every single day I am spammed with an "offer"... it got way past ridiculous. Today I have had enough and unsubscribed. Anyone else having this issue? Carnival is not alone here... NCL is spamming me too. They are next.
  9. That is a good way to look at it. There was a thread a while back and the stock had dropped into the mid 30s. People were debating if the OBC was worth the risk of owning the stock at that price (which was low at that time.) I concluded the risk was just too great to tie up $3,500 in CCL stock. Now, you may only be tying up $815 or so.... maybe that changes the calculus... but you can also look at it like this: You are risking over $800 for a $100 credit you cannot even use right now and there is no guarantee you can ever use the OBC or get you $800 back. I would not touch this wit
  10. You guys do realize that the price can drop to zero and never recover, right?
  11. They already did. That was the reason the entire stock market soared. Corp leaders are compensated for higher stock price, buybacks raise the price at the cost of debt. Party is over, no more easy money. Time to pay the piper.
  12. Dollar value of FCC will never change. What could happen is cruise fare inflation. For example, in order to get nervous cruisers back, the line offers more inclusive fares... All restaurants included, alcohol included, excursions included. That would push fares way up.
  13. I think PR medical infrastructure simply is too small to handle possible seriously ill people off the ships. Much better for pax if Florida takes that responsibility.
  14. Well just book one of the low deposit deals and do not lend the cruise line your money.
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