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Special Tropical Disturbance Statementnws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl235 Pm Edt Tue Aug 23 2005...twelfth Tropical Depression Of The Season Forming Over Thesoutheastern Bahamas...reconnaissance Aircraft Data And Surface Reports Indicate A Tropicaldepression Is Forming Within The Disturbed Weather Over Thesoutheastern Bahamas. The Center Of The Broad Circulation Isestimated To Be Near The Southern Portion Of Long Island In Thesoutheastern Bahamas...and Surface Winds Are Around 35 Mph.advisories Will Be Initiated On This System At 5 Pm Edt.tropical Storm Watches And/or Warnings Will Likely Be Required Forportions Of The Central And Northwestern Bahamas.forecaster Stewart$$

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Tropical Depression TWELVE Public Advisory

 

Home Public Adv Fcst/Adv Strike Probs Maps/Chrts Archive 000WTNT32 KNHC 232042TCPAT2BULLETINTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTEDNWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL5 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005CORRECTED WARNING SECTION...TWELFTH DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS OVER THE BAHAMAS......TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED ATROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. THISINCLUDES CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...SAN SALVADOR...NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... THE ABACOS... ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OFSOUTHERN FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WASESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST OR ABOUT175 MILES... 280 KM... SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FORTHE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS INDICATED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATAAND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY WEDNESDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVERPORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THENORTHERN COAST OF CUBA.STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTEDNEAR THE CENTER IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE BAHAMAS. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...23.2 N... 75.5 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINEDWINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONALHURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXTCOMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART

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Just what we needed.

 

I'm still repairing damage from Hurricanes Frances and Jeanne last year! (We live in Palm Beach Gardens).

 

On the positive side, the prediction right now is that by Saturday afternoon it should be mostly across Florida. When the ship leaves, it may just be a little rainy and windy. Probably a little rough in the ocean. Shouldn't be too bad.

 

See you at the pool bar after muster drill? Good thing most of the drinks come with umbrellas!:D

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Just what we needed.

 

I'm still repairing damage from Hurricanes Frances and Jeanne last year! (We live in Palm Beach Gardens).

 

On the positive side, the prediction right now is that by Saturday afternoon it should be mostly across Florida. When the ship leaves, it may just be a little rainy and windy. Probably a little rough in the ocean. Shouldn't be too bad.

 

See you at the pool bar after muster drill? Good thing most of the drinks come with umbrellas!:D

 

Your lucky, we are supposed to leave Thursday going to Mexico exactly the path of the storm, wonder how that will turn out

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Tropical Depression Twelve Advisory Number 2

Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl

11 Pm Edt Tue Aug 23 2005

 

...tropical Depression Gradually Organizing And Moving Slowly

Northwestward...

...tropical Storm Watch Issued For Portions Of The Florida Keys And

Florida East Coast...

 

A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For The Central And

Northwestern Bahamas... Including Cat Island... The Exumas... Long

Island... Rum Cay... San Salvador... The Northwestern Bahamas...

The Abacos... Andros Island... The Berry Islands... Bimini...

Eleuthera... Grand Bahama Island... And New Providence. A Tropical

Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are

Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours.

 

At 11 Pm Edt... 0300z... A Tropical Storm Watch Has Been Issued For

Portions Of The East Coast Of Florida And The Florida Keys From

West Of The Seven Mile Bridge Northward To Vero Beach. A Tropical

Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are

Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

 

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible

Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued

By Your Local Weather Office.

 

At 11 Pm Edt...0300z...the Center Of Tropical Depression Twelve Was

Estimated Near Latitude 23.4 North... Longitude 76.0 West Or About

140 Miles... 230 Km... Southeast Of Nassau.

 

The Depression Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 7 Mph... 11

Km/hr... And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue During The

Next 24 Hours.

 

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 35 Mph... 55 Km/hr... With Higher

Gusts. Some Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours...

And The Depression Could Become A Tropical Storm On Wednesday.

 

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1007 Mb...29.74 Inches.

 

The Depression Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Accumulations

Of 4 To 8 Inches Over The Central And Northwestern Bahamas... With

Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 10 Inches Possible. Total Rainfall

Accumulations Of 3 To 5 Inches Are Expected Along The North Coast

Of Cuba.

 

Storm Surge Flooding Of 3 To 5 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels...

Along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves... Can Be Expected

Near The Center In Areas Of Onshore Winds In The Bahamas.

 

Repeating The 11 Pm Edt Position...23.4 N... 76.0 W. Movement

Toward...northwest Near 7 Mph. Maximum Sustained

Winds... 35 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1007 Mb.

 

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane

Center At 2 Am Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 5 Am

Edt.

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Tropical Depression Twelve Intermediate Advisory Number 2a

Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl

2 Am Edt Wed Aug 24 2005

 

...center Of Tropical Depression Twelve Near Great Exuma Island In

The Bahamas....

 

A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For The Central And

Northwestern Bahamas... Including Cat Island... The Exumas... Long

Island... Rum Cay... San Salvador... The Northwestern Bahamas...

The Abacos... Andros Island... The Berry Islands... Bimini...

Eleuthera... Grand Bahama Island... And New Providence. A Tropical

Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are

Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours.

 

A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For Portions Of The East

Coast Of Florida And The Florida Keys From West Of The Seven Mile

Bridge Northward To Vero Beach. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That

Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...

Generally Within 36 Hours.

 

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible

Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued

By Your Local Weather Office.

 

At 2 Am Edt...0600z...the Center Of Tropical Depression Twelve Was

Estimated Near Latitude 23.6 North... Longitude 76.0 West Or About

135 Miles... 220 Km... Southeast Of Nassau In The Bahamas.

 

The Depression Is Moving Erratically Toward The Northwest Near 5

Mph... 8 Km/hr... And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue

During The Next 24 Hours.

 

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 35 Mph... 55 Km/hr... With Higher

Gusts. Some Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours...

And The Depression Could Become A Tropical Storm On Wednesday. An

Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Is Currently Enroute To

Investigate The Depression.

 

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1007 Mb...29.74 Inches.

 

The Depression Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Accumulations

Of 4 To 8 Inches Over The Central And Northwestern Bahamas... With

Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 10 Inches Possible. Total Rainfall

Accumulations Of 3 To 5 Inches Are Expected Along The North Coast

Of Cuba.

 

Storm Surge Flooding Of 3 To 5 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels...

Along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves... Can Be Expected

Near The Center In Areas Of Onshore Winds In The Bahamas.

 

Repeating The 2 Am Edt Position...23.6 N... 76.0 W. Movement

Toward...northwest Near 5 Mph. Maximum Sustained

Winds... 35 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1007 Mb.

 

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National

Hurricane Center At 5 Am Edt.

 

Forecaster Beven

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 3

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2005

 

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE

BAHAMAS...NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND

NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND... THE EXUMAS... LONG

ISLAND... RUM CAY... SAN SALVADOR... THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...

THE ABACOS... ANDROS ISLAND... THE BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI...

ELEUTHERA... GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND... AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A TROPICAL

STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

 

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST

COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE

BRIDGE NORTHWARD TO VERO BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...

GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER

TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.

 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.4 WEST OR ABOUT

95 MILES... 150 KM...SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 270 MILES...

430 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA.

 

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH

...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR

THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER THROUGH THE

CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

 

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS...MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. STRENGTHENING

IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD

BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

 

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

GEORGETOWN ON GREAT EXUMA ISLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF

1006.8 MB...29.73 INCHES.

 

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS

OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... WITH

ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED RAINFALL

ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTH COAST

OF CUBA.

 

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...

ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... CAN BE EXPECTED

NEAR THE CENTER IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE BAHAMAS.

 

Official Forecast...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT12/refresh/AL1205W5_sm2+gif/084619W_sm.gif

 

Computer Models...

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early2.png

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Latest update, but doesn't include the information that the storm has now reached tropical strength:

 

 

 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

8 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2005

 

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING ERRATICALLY NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE

CENTRAL BAHAMAS...NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND

NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL

STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE

NEXT 24 HOURS.

 

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST

COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE

BRIDGE NORTHWARD TO VERO BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...

GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER

TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.

 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS

ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.6 WEST OR ABOUT

70 MILES... 115 KM...SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 250 MILES...

400 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA.

 

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR

8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE

FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER THROUGH

THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS...MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. RECENT

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTS INDICATE THE DEPRESSION IS JUST

BELOW TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST

DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY BECOME A

TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

 

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

 

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS

OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... WITH

ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

 

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...

ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... CAN BE EXPECTED

NEAR THE CENTER IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE BAHAMAS.

 

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...24.4 N... 76.6 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED

WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

 

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

AT 11 AM EDT.

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TROPICAL STORM KATRINA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI Fl

805 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2005

 

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION

TWELVE HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL STORM KATRINA...

 

SHORTLY BEFORE 8 AM EDT...REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS IN

THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE HAD INCREASED TO AT LEAST 40 MPH

...MAKING THE SYSTEM TROPICAL STORM KATRINA.

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Tropical Storm Katrina Advisory Number 4

Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl

11 Am Edt Wed Aug 24 2005

 

...depression Strengthens Into Tropical Storm Katrina Over The

Central Bahamas...

...hurricane Watch And Tropical Storm Warning Issued For Florida...

 

At 11 Am Edt...1500z...a Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane

Watch Have Been Issued For The Southeast Florida Coast From Vero

Beach Southward To Florida City. This Replaces The Tropical Storm

Watch. A Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are

Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The Central And

Northwest Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical

Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The

Next 24 Hours.

 

A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For The Middle And Upper

Florida Keys From West Of The Seven Mile Bridge Northward To South

Of Florida City. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm

Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36

Hours.

 

A Watch Or Warning May Be Required For Lake Okeechobee Later Today.

A Hurricane Warning May Be Required For Portions Of The Northwest

Bahamas Later Today.

 

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible

Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued

By Your Local Weather Office.

 

At 11 Am Edt...1500z...the Center Of Tropical Storm Katrina Was

Located Near Latitude 24.7 North... Longitude 76.7 West Or About 50

Miles... 80 Km... East-southeast Of Nassau And About 230 Miles...

375 Km...east-southeast Of Southeast Coast Of Florida.

 

Katrina Is Moving Toward The North-northwest Near 8 Mph

...13 Km/hr. A Gradual Turn Toward The Northwest At A Slightly

Slower Forward Speed Is Expected To Occur Later Today. This Motion

Should Bring The Center Through The Central And Northwest Bahamas

Later Today And Tonight.

 

Earlier Reports From An Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance Aircraft

Indicated Maximum Sustained Winds Had Increased To Near 40 Mph...

65 Km/hr...with Higher Gusts. Additional Strengthening Is Forecast

During The Next 24 Hours.

 

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 70 Miles

...110 Km...mainly East Of The Center.

 

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1006 Mb...29.71 Inches.

 

Due To Its Slow Forward Speed...katrina Is Expected To Produce A

Significant Heavy Rainfall Event Over The Central And Northwest

Bahamas...and South Florida... With Total Rainfall Accumulations Of

6 To 12 Inches And Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 15 To 20 Inches

Possible.

 

Storm Surge Flooding Of 3 To 5 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels...

Along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves... Can Be Expected

Near The Center In Areas Of Onshore Winds In The Bahamas.

 

Repeating The 11 Am Edt Position...24.7 N... 76.7 W. Movement

Toward...north-northwest Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained

Winds... 40 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1006 Mb.

 

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National

Hurricane Center At 2 Pm Edt Followed By The Next Complete

Advisory At 5 Pm Edt.

 

Forecaster Stewart

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Bulletin

Tropical Storm Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 4a

Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl

2 Pm Edt Wed Aug 24 2005

 

...tropical Storm Katrina Strengthening Over The Central Bahamas...

...heavy Rainfall Threat For The Bahamas Tonight And Thursday...

 

A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Remain In Effect For

The Southeast Florida Coast From Vero Beach Southward To Florida

City. This Replaces The Tropical Storm Watch. A Hurricane Watch

Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch

Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The Central And

Northwest Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical

Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The

Next 24 Hours.

 

A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For The Middle And Upper

Florida Keys From West Of The Seven Mile Bridge Northward To South

Of Florida City. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That Tropical Storm

Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36

Hours.

 

A Watch Or Warning May Be Required For Lake Okeechobee Later Today.

A Hurricane Warning May Be Required For Portions Of The Northwest

Bahamas Later Today.

 

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible

Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued

By Your Local Weather Office.

 

At 2 Pm Edt...1800z...reports From An Air Force Reserve Unit

Reconnaissance Aircraft Indicate The Center Of Tropical Storm

Katrina Was Reforming Near Latitude 25.2 North... Longitude 77.0

West Or About 30 Miles... 50 Km... East-northeast Of Nassau And

About 200 Miles...320 Km...east-southeast Of The Southeast Coast

Of Florida.

 

Katrina Is Moving Toward The North-northwest Near 8 Mph

...13 Km/hr. A Turn Toward The Northwest Or West-northwest At A

Slightly Slower Forward Speed Is Expected To Occur Tonight Or Early

Thursday. This Motion Will Bring The Center Through The Central

Bahamas Today And The Northwest Bahamas Tonight And Thursday.

 

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Estimated Near 45 Mph...75 Km/hr...with

Higher Gusts. Additional Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next

24 Hours.

 

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 70 Miles

...110 Km...mainly East Of The Center.

 

The Minimum Central Pressure Recently Observed By Reconnaissance

Aircraft Was 1003 Mb...29.62 Inches.

 

Due To Its Slow Forward Speed...katrina Is Expected To Produce A

Significant Heavy Rainfall Event Over The Central And Northwest

Bahamas...and South Florida... With Total Rainfall Accumulations Of

6 To 12 Inches And Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 15 To 20 Inches

Possible.

 

Storm Surge Flooding Of 3 To 5 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels...

Along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves... Can Be Expected

Near The Center In Areas Of Onshore Winds In The Bahamas.

 

Repeating The 2 Pm Edt Position...25.2 N... 77.0 W. Movement

Toward...north-northwest Near 8 Mph. Maximum Sustained

Winds... 45 Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...1003 Mb.

 

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center

At 5 Pm Edt.

 

Forecaster Stewart

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Nuke,

 

I almost booked the Zuiderdam instead of Glory. But I think Miami and Fort Lauderdale will be in the clear by Saturday. Earlier it looked like New Orleans would be the target but they have bent that back eastward into Florida.

 

Insurance down here is getting high enough, mine doubled this year. :eek:

 

I would also hate to see it recurve even more since I am leaving the wife and kids behind!

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Vico,

Don't worry, your family and house will be fine. It looks like it will be only a minimal hurricane when it comes ashore down by Ft. Lauderdale. By the time we get on the ship, it should have moved on and left some rain.

 

They just posted southeast Florida from Vero Beach on down as a Hurricane Watch. That means for now nobody in the area can get homeowner's insurance.

 

I know what you mean about the insurance premiums. Mine went up soon after Andrew in 1992. Now, it's more than 500% (yes, 5 times) higher than when I moved in in 1990.

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Tropical Storm Katrina Forecast/advisory Number 5

Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al122005

2100z Wed Aug 24 2005

 

At 5 Pm Edt...2100z...a Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane

Watch Have Been Issued For Lake Okeechobee. A Tropical Storm Warning

And A Hurricane Watch Are Now In Effect For The Southeast Florida

Coast From Vero Beach Southward To Florida City...including Lake

Okeechobee. A Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are

Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours. A

Hurricane Warning Will Likely Be Issued For Portions Of The

Hurricane Watch Area Later This Evening.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect For The Central And

Northwest Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical

Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The

Next 24 Hours. A Hurricane Warning May Be Required For Portions Of

The Northwest Bahamas Later Tonight.

 

At 5 Pm Edt...a Tropical Storm Watch Has Been Issued For The

East-central Florida Coast From North Of Vero Beach Northward To

Titusville...including All Of Merritt Island. A Tropical Storm

Watch Is Now In Effect For The Middle And Upper Florida Keys From

West Of The Seven Mile Bridge Northward To South Of Florida

City...and From North Of Vero Beach Northward To Titusville...

Including All Of Merritt Island. A Tropical Storm Watch Means That

Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...

Generally Within 36 Hours.

 

Tropical Storm Center Located Near 25.6n 77.2w At 24/2100z

Position Accurate Within 30 Nm

 

Present Movement Toward The Northwest Or 325 Degrees At 8 Kt

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