Tropical Storm Epsilon!

[GulfCoaster]

Is this 205 Hurricane Season EVER going to end! NHC just announced that Tropical Storm Epsilon has formed! Their next update is at 5 PM.

 

After goiong through Katrina AND Rita it seem as if all I do these days is check the weather.

 

We leave on the Veendam a week from this Saturday. Can only hope for calm seas for all that are cruising now or that may be in harms way in the future. And just think, it is only 24 weeks until the start of Season '06!

 

Swell...This has been one #$*& of a year!!

 

Mike

[LolaWiz]

:| :|

i cannot believe this. PLEASE MAKE IT STOP!!! hurricane season is supposed to be over with.

 

I hope this fizzles or stays at sea.

EDIT: its in the Atlantic... i think it should be ok not to hit any land. (i hope not anyways.)

[Oceanwench]

The laws of man don't have any effect on the laws of nature.

 

While we can dictate the dates of hurricane season, we can't stop the storms from forming.

[csg99]

being Midwesterners and foolish in the ways of nature, we thought we were safe in 2003 when we booked our 12/7 Zaandam cruise....we were fooled! A tropical storm formed and caused some rough seas, but no missed ports or 27-ft seas like the 11/13 Westerdam.

[HeatherInFlorida]

Let's just say good-bye to it all for this year. Ignore them and they'll go away. They will stay out there in the middle of the Atlantic and pose no threat to anyone except shipping traffic.

 

Who cares??? Look where the darned thing is!!!!!

 

[vicocala]

Ha! Ya beat me to it. :) Really an amazing year. Maybe everyone should start reading the book of Revelations. ;)

[vicocala]

Here is the latest advisory by the way:

 

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON DISCUSSION NUMBER 3

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

10 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2005

 

WHILE ITS POSITION NEAR THE CENTER OF A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL

LOW SUGGESTS THAT EPSILON HAS NOT FULLY SHED SUBTROPICAL

CHARACTERISTICS...THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS REMAINED BENEATH THE

PERSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.

ADDITIONALLY...A TRMM OVERPASS AT 2051Z AND A QUIKSCAT OVERPASS AT

2155Z BOTH SUGGEST THAT THE CYCLONE HAS FORMED AN INNER WIND CORE

MORE CHARACTERISTIC OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE...WITH THE QUIKSCAT DATA

SHOWING 40 KT WINDS NEAR THE CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES

ARE SUBTROPICAL 45-50 KT FROM TAFB...AND TROPICAL 35 KT FROM SAB

AND AFWA. BASED ON THE ABOVE...EPSILON REMAINS A 45 KT TROPICAL

STORM FOR THIS PACKAGE. AN AMSU OVERPASS AT ABOUT 02Z MAY PROVIDE

MORE INFORMATION ON THE THERMAL STRUCTURE OF THE STORM.

 

THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 270/7. EPSILON...AND THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW

IT IS EMBEDDED IN....ARE SOUTH OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE THAT IS MOVING

EASTWARD FROM SOUTHEASTERN CANADA INTO THE ATLANTIC. THE LARGE-

SCALE MODELS FORECAST THIS RIDGE TO PASS NORTH OF THE CYCLONE

DURING THE NEXT 24 HR...THEN CONTINUE EASTWARD AND WEAKEN AS A

DEEP-LAYER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE CYCLONE MOVE INTO THE

EASTERN UNITED STATES AND NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS EVOLUTION

SHOULD STEER THE STORM WESTWARD FOR 12-24 HR...THEN ALLOW

RECURVATURE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. ALL THE TRACK GUIDANCE AGREES

WITH THIS SCENARIO THROUGH ABOUT 72 HR. AFTER THAT TIME...THE GFS

AND NOGAPS MODELS FORECAST EPSILON TO MOVE MORE EASTWARD...WHILE

THE ECMWF...UKMET...AND CANADIAN MODELS CALL FOR A NORTHEASTWARD

MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL LIE BETWEEN THESE TWO EXTREMES

IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL. OVERALL...THE NEW FORECAST TRACK

IS A LITTLE TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.

 

THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST EPSILON TO REMAIN NEAR THE CENTER OF

THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW FOR 24-36 HR. WHILE THIS IS NOT THE BEST PLACE

FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES FROM A THERMODYNAMIC STANDPOINT...THIS WILL

LIKELY KEEP THE VERTICAL SHEAR AT LIGHT TO MODERATE LEVELS AND

ALLOW SOME STRENGTHENING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST THUS CALLS FOR

THE STORM TO REACH 60 KT IN 36 HR...WHICH IS A LITTLE STRONGER THAN

THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. AFTER THAT...THE UPPER LOW SHOULD WEAKEN AND

MOVE EASTWARD...EXPOSING THE STORM TO SHEAR. ALSO...THE FORECAST

NORTHEASTWARD TURN SHOULD BRING THE SYSTEM OVER SEA SURFACE

TEMPERATURES COLDER THAN THE CURRENTLY MARGINAL-AT-BEST 23C. THIS

COMBINATION SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING. THEN...THE FRONTAL SYSTEM

ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING DEEP-LAYER TROUGH SHOULD BEGIN TO

MERGE WITH EPSILON IN ABOUT 72 HR...EVENTUALLY CAUSING THE STORM TO

BECOME EXTRATROPICAL.

 

THE TRMM AND QUIKSCAT DATA SUGGEST THE WIND FIELD OF EPSILON IS

ABOUT TO JOIN THE LARGE AREA OF NORTHEASTERLY FLOW LOCATED

NORTHWEST OF THE STORM. IF THIS HAPPENS...THE WIND RADII IN THE

NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT MAY NEED SIGNIFICANT REVISION. IN THE LONGER

TERM...THE SIZE OF THE 34 KT WIND FIELD AT 72 HR WAS REDUCED BASED

ON THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS NOT SHOWING A VIGOROUS OUTER ENVELOPE.

 

FORECASTER BEVEN

 

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

 

INITIAL 30/0300Z 31.4N 51.9W 45 KT

12HR VT 30/1200Z 31.4N 53.1W 50 KT

24HR VT 01/0000Z 31.6N 53.9W 55 KT

36HR VT 01/1200Z 32.0N 53.9W 60 KT

48HR VT 02/0000Z 32.8N 53.0W 60 KT

72HR VT 03/0000Z 34.5N 48.5W 55 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL

96HR VT 04/0000Z 37.0N 43.5W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

120HR VT 05/0000Z 40.5N 39.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

[VABeach]

I can't believe the season this year! I live close to the VaBeach area, and we usually always get hit by one or two. Seems like Mother Nature just had it out for the Gulf this time as we never got anything.

 

My deepest sympothies to everyone in the Gulf area. You guys have had MORE than your share of them!

 

Now, here's to hoping for calm seas in two weeks... :rolleyes:

[jhannah]

There is a very interesting article in last Sunday's Miami Herald. It indicates that this is really normal for Florida. There's been a 24 year period of "rest" but more of this is to come. Article linked here. (It's interesting one of the weather experts quoted is named Landsea!)

[HeatherInFlorida]

Since it seems we're going drag out storm season forever, I have more bad news. Since the Gulf was struck so heavily by storms this year which didn't exempt West Palm Beach from being hit from behind by Wilma, it seems they expect that next year the East coast will "get it" and the season will undoubtedly be just as bad or worse. And so it will go probably for the next 10 to 15 years.

 

While reasonable updates on these storms are much appreciated, I sure hope next year doesn't bring threads about storms meandering in the Atlantic Ocean that pose no threat to any land mass anywhere.

 

It's bad enough as it is. I know I'm oversensitized about it all, but aren't there enough of the really threatening ones out there that we don't have to talk about the ones that aren't?

[Oceanwench]

I agree. I don't like to see a storm "hyped" when it really poses no threat to anyone cruising whatsoever!

 

Heather, you have every right to be sensitive to this issue! All of us who've dealt with the last two years of hurricanes know what it's like to deal with hurricane season down here.

 

I hope the East Coast isn't in for it next year, but from everything I've read, we're on the high cycle for hurricanes again. Time to move out of town! :eek:

[jhannah]

Time to move out of town! :eek:

The Las Vegas valley is wonderful! Sure, it's hot for a couple of months, but otherwise really quite mild. No hurricanes. No tornadoes. Snow in the valley is very rare, yet you can ski and snowboard less than an hour away! Come on over! :)

[Oceanwench]

The Las Vegas valley is wonderful! Sure, it's hot for a couple of months, but otherwise really quite mild. No hurricanes. No tornadoes. Snow in the valley is very rare, yet you can ski and snowboard less than an hour away! Come on over! :)

 

... but it's a dry heat.

 

Two women from Arizona on the Westerdam were insisting that they live in the best location in the country.

[Host Walt]

Several decades ago I lost a home and the formerly beachfront property near Rehoboth Beach, Delaware to "a surprise" hurricane (the land is now under water).

 

There was neither FEMA nor homeowners insurance to cover the total loss.

 

For that reason I am very sensitive to the subject and, although we in California seldom have hurricanes, I still have relatives up and down the eastern seaboard from Florida to Eastern Long Island. In addition there are still trans-Atlantic sailings and air traffic that can get bolluxed up by hurricanes as well.

 

So the posting of details of hurricanes that are currently threatening the Atlantic states or the Ocean going air and sea traffic is a matter of concern and interest to our members, at least to some of them, and remains an appropriate subject for discussion on the Cruise Critic message boards.

[vicocala]

Walt,

 

You were a lot more diplomatic than I was! :)

[imsulin2]

Here in Alabama, we were hit with seven tornadoes a couple of nights ago. Our area was fortunate, but I faced a very long night of thunder & lightning, and sirens going on and off. I really do believe in the "cyclical" nature of these things!

 

P.S. To Host Walt: Thanks for a very good post!

[HeatherInFlorida]

Walt,

 

You were a lot more diplomatic than I was! :)

 

... which is why your post and the responses to it are gone. A lack of sensitivity to others reactions to this recent onslaught of hurricanes by someone who isn't going through it is something I just don't understand.

 

So I'm very glad to see those posts gone as well. I will try very hard, since it appears these reports will be allowed to continue, to ignore them.

 

After 6 months, I've decided that the information and reaction to it is more than anyone living with the reality of the hurricanes needs. I'm very sorry that CC is allows it to continue.

[GulfCoaster]

Thanks for your post. It was very well put!

 

I grew up in Studio City, so I am no stranger to what you deal with in California with mudslides, smog, fires and of course earthquakes. Like you, I am very sensitive to these issues as well.

 

Since Katrina hit and destroyed the entire Gulf Coast of Mississippi and flooded 80% of New Orleans when the leevees broke, I have become very storm weary. The pictures you see on the news do not even begin to show the misery and destruction this storm caused thousands and thousands of people.

 

I am leaving next week for my Veendam cruise which I booked a year ago and I also currently booked on a TA for next September. Frankly I am very nervious about both. TS Epsilon showing up just adds to the stress factor we are under - espcially this late in the season. I want to go on this cruise and relax for the first time in 3 months and forget about things for a few days because I know upon my return I will have to go back to dealing with surviving and rebuilding - or leaving the area for good and trying my hand somewhere else.

 

So I am very thankful for this board and for the info we all share with each other, including ANY and all weather issues that may impact the cruise itself, flying or driving to the port city, etc., etc.

 

Mike

 

PS: Walt, if it would not be too much trouble - if you should pass an In-N-Out Burger (There is one on Balboa Blvd in Northridge) please have a Double-Double with grilled onions for me! Thanks! Yup, I'm missing my roots!

[aaerobear]

Of course all of us in the San Francisco Bay area wait for the "Big One", always hoping that it will never come. We do feel so very sorry for those in the Southeast and gulfcoast for what they have had to endure, especially this year. It is supposed to be officially over (but we all know about "officials") We will hope it is truly over and can get on with late fall and winter with no more majuor disruption of lives.

 

I am heading out for an In-N-Out burger combo as we speak.

 

Ed

[vicocala]

Heather,

You have made your opinion perfectly clear. Although I did not see the responses that you and Oceanwench may have made, I can guess.

 

I am glad you have decided to ignore them, we had this discussion quite some time ago but despite the support these threads have had some wouldn't let it drop.

 

The current forecasted discussion:

 

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON DISCUSSION NUMBER 10

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

4 PM EST THU DEC 01 2005

 

CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES HAVE CONTINUED TO IMPROVE...ALTHOUGH THE

RAGGED BANDED EYE HAS BECOME CLOUD FILLED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY

HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 60 KT BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY

ESTIMATE OF T3.5/55 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB... A VISIBLE EYE

PATTERN OF NEARLY T4.0/65 KT FROM TAFB AND AODT ESTIMATES... AND A

01/1710Z UW-CIMSS AMSU INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 982 MB/66 KT... WHICH

IS A DECREASE OF 3 MB AND AN INCREASE OF 5 KT FROM THE 01/0944Z

ESTIMATE. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS.

 

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 050/09. EPSILON SEEMS TO HAVE

STEADIED ON A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION... AS WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND

SATELLITE-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE DEEP-LAYER FLOW TO THE WEST OF

THE LARGE CYCLONIC GYRE IN WHICH EPSILON IS EMBEDDED IS GRADUALLY

BECOMING MORE WEST TO WESTSOUTHWESTERLY. A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD

MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE

12Z GLOBAL MODELS ARE NOW IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT ON THIS MOTION

AND CONTINUE TO FORECAST THE MID-LEVEL FLOW TO BECOME MORE

ZONAL/WESTERLY IN 48-120 HOURS. EVEN THE UKMET AND NOGAPS MODELS

HAVE ABANDONED THEIR PREVIOUS STALLING OF EPSILON TO THE SOUTHWEST

OF THE AZORES. THE ONLY OUTLIER MODELS ARE THE GFDL AND GFS

ENSEMBLE MODELS... WHICH RACE EPSILON NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 72

HOURS AND HAVE THE CYCLONE EAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND IN 120 HOURS. THOSE

TWO MODELS WERE DISCOUNTED SINCE THE MID-LATITUDE FLOW IS GRADUALLY

BECOMING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BECOME ZONAL WITH TIME.

 

THE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE AND

SHIP DEDM LOCATED ABOUT 85 NMI SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER REPORTED A

SST OF 77F/25C. SO IT APPEARS THAT EPSILON IS MOVING OVER A NARROW

RIDGE OF WARMER WATER... WHICH COULD ALLOW THE CYCLONE TO BRIEFLY

BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 6 HOURS OR SO. HOWEVER... SLOW

BUT STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN 12-24 HOURS AS EPSILON

MOVES OVER 22C AND COLDER SSTS AND THE VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASES.

 

FORECASTER STEWART

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

 

INITIAL 01/2100Z 31.7N 51.0W 60 KT

12HR VT 02/0600Z 32.7N 49.7W 55 KT

24HR VT 02/1800Z 34.1N 48.0W 50 KT

36HR VT 03/0600Z 35.3N 46.3W 50 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL

48HR VT 03/1800Z 36.4N 44.6W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

72HR VT 04/1800Z 38.5N 40.2W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

96HR VT 05/1800Z 41.0N 35.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

120HR VT 06/1800Z 42.5N 31.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

 

$$

[vicocala]

Hurricane Epsilon Discussion Number 13...corrected

Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl

10 Am Est Fri Dec 02 2005

 

Corrected Dates Of Amsu Intensity Estimates

 

Despite Moving Over Slightly Cooler Water Since This Time Yesterday

...epsilon Has Continued To Become Better Organized With A Solid

Convective Band Now Wrapping Completely Around The Cyclone Center

...which Has Produced A Well-defined 25 Nmi Diameter Eye. The

Upper-level Outflow Pattern Has Also Continued To Improve...

Especially To The North And East. Dvorak Satellite Intensity

Estimates Are T4.0/65 From Tafb And Sab... And A 02/0920z

Nesdis/cira Amsu Presssure Estimate Was 986 Mb.. And 02/0920z

Intensity Estimate From Uw-cimss Was 985 Mb/66 Kt. Based On This

Information... Epsilon Has Been Upgraded To A 65-kt Hurricane. This

Is Not Unprecedented For A Hurricane To Form This Late In The

Season Or Over This Part Of The Atlantic Ocean. Hurricane Noel In

November 2001 Formed Near 38n 50w...about 250 Nmi North Of Epsilon.

 

The Initial Motion Is 045/12 Kt. Satellite Fix Positions From All

Three Agencies Have Been Coming In On The Previous Forecast Track

...so Little Change Has Been Made. Nhc Model Guidance Has Continued

To Become More Convergent On A Northeastward Motion For The Next 72

Hours. Afterwards... However... The Models Diverge Significantly On

How They Handle Epsilon As An Extratropical Low. The Gfdl And Gfdn

Take Epsilon More Northward... Whereas The Gfs... Ukmet... And

Nogaps Models Take The Cyclone More Eastward And Southward By 120

Hours Due To Complex Interaction And/or Merger With Another

Extratropical Low That Is Forecast To Develop Over The Azores. The

Official Forecast Is Similar To The Previous Forecast Track And

Remains A Little North Of And Slower Than The Nhc Model Consensus.

 

Ship Dedm Located About 160 Nmi East Of Epsilon At 12z Reported A

Sst Of 24c/75f... Which Indicates That Epsilon Has Been Moving

Along A Narrow Ridge Of Warmer Ssts. This Likely Explains To A

Large Degree Why Epsilon Has Been Able To Improve Its Convective

Organization This Morning. However... Buoys Northeast Of The

Cyclone Indicate Ssts Below 70f Are Less Than 200 Nmi Away. As

Such... Epsilon Should Begin To Steadily Weaken Within The Next

12-18 Hours And Probably Become Extratropical By 36 Hours.

 

Forecaster Stewart

 

 

Forecast Positions And Max Winds

 

Initial 02/1500z 33.7n 48.2w 65 Kt

12hr Vt 03/0000z 34.6n 46.9w 60 Kt

24hr Vt 03/1200z 35.8n 45.0w 55 Kt...becoming Extratropical

36hr Vt 04/0000z 37.0n 43.0w 50 Kt...extratropical

48hr Vt 04/1200z 38.3n 40.7w 45 Kt...extratropical

72hr Vt 05/1200z 40.8n 36.2w 45 Kt...extratropical

96hr Vt 06/1200z 43.0n 32.0w 40 Kt...extratropical

120hr Vt 07/1200z 44.5n 29.0w 40 Kt...extratropical

[serendipity1499]

There is a very interesting article in last Sunday's Miami Herald. It indicates that this is really normal for Florida. There's been a 24 year period of "rest" but more of this is to come. Article linked here. (It's interesting one of the weather experts quoted is named Landsea!)

 

We live in a 35 year old home on the water & have huge sliding glass doors in most of the rooms..

 

Have been planning to get storm shutters for some time but keep putting it off.. My DH & I agree we can't go through another Hurricane Season without Shutters:eek: ..It was very scary to us both.. He wants to re-model the house & get rid of most of the sliding doors in our Living Room..He wants to extend the wall space & put in a large hurricane proof window in place of the doors..Have already put a French Door in the place of the sliders in our bedroom giving us more wall space & it looks great..My DH's plan sounds wonderful to me, as it will give us more room to hang those lovely pictures & trinkets we seem to accumulate on our wonderful cruises..;) Our poor kids will have to sell all this stuff to get their inheritance, as we're spending it faster than ever...;)

 

This article cements the need for us to get cracking before our Amazon cruise next April & the next Hurricane season.. After all that remodling, we'll need that cruise to relax! Only 21 more weeks to go.

 

Thanks again!:)

[Oceanwench]

So I am very thankful for this board and for the info we all share with each other, including ANY and all weather issues that may impact the cruise itself, flying or driving to the port city, etc., etc.

 

So we can look forward to reports on blizzards, ice storms, etc. this winter, right? Because those will certainly affect people flying or driving to the port cities! I hope someone will monitor NOAA, the source for the above-posted hurricane advisories, and keep us all apprised of winter conditions.

 

One thing we South Floridians have endured for years is a lot of hype from some of our TV stations during hurricane season. The Miami-based stations were the worst! A tease to the 11 p.m. news would come on at 10, and the forecaster would say "Hurricane Hortense is brewing." When you tuned in at 11, you found out that the hurricane was heading out to sea ...

So after years and years of this, many of us looked at these forecasters as "the boy who cried wolf." You remember the fable.

 

Then came the hurricane season of 2004 ... Florida got walloped. Where I live, we had back-to-back hurricanes, two weeks apart. It was the first time in years Palm Beach County ever had been hit by a major storm. It was a struggle just getting through the day with no electricity, no phones, no cell phones operational, no gasoline available, dawn-to-dusk curfews.

The experience was so frightening, many people got anxious every time it rained afterward! Post traumatic stress.

 

After that, the forecasters seemed to tone down their reports. And 2005 has been no different -- we don't get the hype for every blip that comes across the radar. No more crying wolf. The forecasters will keep us informed when there is anything out there that has potential to strike South Florida, but they don't hype the storms that pose no threat. [Remember the one that hit Spain?]

 

One problem I have with large blocks of information pasted into a post is that they are not sourced. I believe that credit should be given every time a large amount of information is obtained from another source. There is always a risk that someone will think the poster is the author of the information, when that is not the case.

 

Also, by sourcing it, the poster can provide others with a location [such as NOAA] where they can find additional material of a similar nature. By listing the National Hurricane Service as the source and providing the Web address, the poster can show others how they can find such things as 3-day cones, 5-day cones, strike probabilities and wind fields.

 

Advisories prepared by the NHS are too technical for the average reader. A better source would be something put out by the Associated Press, which takes the NHS information and boils it down to the essentials and puts it in layman's terms. That's why you won't see an NHS advisory printed verbatim in a newspaper -- the verbiage isn't reader-friendly.

[Oceanwench]

We live in a 35 year old home on the water & have huge sliding glass doors in most of the rooms..

 

Have been planning to get storm shutters for some time but keep putting it off.. My DH & I agree we can't go through another Hurricane Season without Shutters:eek: ..It was very scary to us both.. He wants to re-model the house & get rid of most of the sliding doors in our Living Room..He wants to extend the wall space & put in a large hurricane proof window in place of the doors..Have already put a French Door in the place of the sliders in our bedroom giving us more wall space & it looks great..My DH's plan sounds wonderful to me, as it will give us more room to hang those lovely pictures & trinkets we seem to accumulate on our wonderful cruises..;) Our poor kids will have to sell all this stuff to get their inheritance, as we're spending it faster than ever...;)

 

This article cements the need for us to get cracking before our Amazon cruise next April & the next Hurricane season.. After all that remodling, we'll need that cruise to relax! Only 21 more weeks to go.

 

Thanks again!:)

 

Smart girl!!!

We spent $13K on storm shutters and hurricane-resistant windows for our house, following last year's B2B hurricanes. The shutters are rated for Miami-Dade.

It was money well spent. We felt so much more secure when Hurricane Wilma came through this year. We still had damage to our pool screening -- can't do anything to protect that -- and some roof tiles knocked off. But the house was secure.

[vicocala]

OW, If you look at the third line of the lastest advisory you will notice that it states it is from the National Hurricane Center in Miami. Every one of my posted advisories or discussions have that line as well as the forecasters signature at the end. You refuse to see that I do source each and every bulletin that I post. We went thru this a long time ago and you and Heather continue to attack it for whatever reason. Please ignore the posts or contribute constructively to them without the snide "copyright" inferences. Thanks.

 

 

BULLETIN

HURRICANE EPSILON ADVISORY NUMBER 14

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5 PM AST FRI DEC 02 2005

 

...EPSILON MAINTAINS HURRICANE STATUS OVER THE COOL WATERS OF

THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

 

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EPSILON WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 34.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 47.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1165

MILES...1875 KM... WEST OF THE AZORES.

 

EPSILON IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND

THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT... BUT GRADUAL

WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON SATURDAY.

 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...

FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

 

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

 

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...34.2 N... 47.4 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED

WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.

 

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

AT 11 PM AST.

 

FORECASTER STEWART