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Is Jeanne brewing out there?????


Jan T

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Right now it is just a surface low (wave) just east of the northern Antilles......that would be St maartan down to say martinique.......

 

It will bring showers over the next few days including the Virgin islands, Puerto Rico. There is alot of upper level wind sheer which should keep it from amounting to no more then a minimun tropical storm IF that much.

 

 

 

...........and it willl not effect our cruise Jan!!:)

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The NHCNOAA page lists a note indicating it is a tropical wave as Sue indicated, but... that it was looking like it was getting more organized and could be called a tropical depression with a # associated within 24 hours. That was a 9am note today. I'd expect an update tomorrow morning. Hopefully it will be that it has disappeared.

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The NHCNOAA page lists a note indicating it is a tropical wave as Sue indicated, but... that it was looking like it was getting more organized and could be called a tropical depression with a # associated within 24 hours. That was a 9am note today. I'd expect an update tomorrow morning. Hopefully it will be that it has disappeared.

Let's all hope that it has disappeared tomorrow!!!!! :rolleyes: Please God!!!??!?!?!

 

Jan T

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Okay, it's official, Tropical Storm Jeanne is alive and well packing winds of 50 MPH. NOAA is watching and is posting advisories. Here is the 2 pm update:

 

WTNT31 KNHC 141731

TCPAT1

BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

2 PM AST TUE SEP 14 2004

 

...TROPICAL STORM JEANNE STRENGTHENING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN

CARIBBEAN SEA AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE

U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST.

MARTEEN...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.

 

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ANGUILLA...AND FOR THE

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA NORTHWARD TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

 

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE

NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

 

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.5 WEST OR ABOUT

100 MILES... 165 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX.

 

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR...

AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24

HOURS.

 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24

HOURS.

 

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES

... 55 KM FROM THE CENTER.

 

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE

AIRCRAFT WAS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

 

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 9 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER

AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE.

 

REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...16.7 N... 63.5 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED

WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR

PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

AT 5 PM AST.

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