Hurricane's A-Coming!

[pspercy]

Matthew, Monday 11am EDT plot:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents

Edited October 3, 2016 by pspercy

[SAS21]

Here is the wind speed chart with the broad area of coverage.

 

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/145545.shtml?tswind120#contents

[BillOh]

Majesty of the Seas

We are rerouting Majesty of the Seas. Majesty will now call to Key West, Florida, instead of her scheduled call to Nassau, Bahamas. Majesty of the Seas revised itinerary:

Monday, Oct. 3 - Port Canaveral, Florida at 4:00 p.m.

Tuesday, Oct. 4 - At sea

Wednesday, Oct. 5 - Key West, Florida at 8:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m.

Thursday, Oct. 6 - CocoCay, Bahamas at 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m.

Friday, Oct. 7 - Port Canaveral, Florida at 7:00 a.m.

 

This one will give me something to do/watch this week. I was almost on this cruise, but had to push back to Oct 17th When they said they were going to Key west first I thought we'd see more "Jones' act" posts. Pure speculation on my part is that Coco Cay visit on Thursday is highly unlikely.

[Retired LEO]

Catastrophic flooding expected for Haiti. 15-25 inches of rain expected with up to 40 inches in some areas. :eek:

[adjjb12]

Poor Haiti, they're still not rebuilt from the last major hurricane.

[Retired LEO]

Poor Haiti, they're still not rebuilt from the last major hurricane.

 

50,000 people are still living in tents since the earthquake in 2010.

[jules815]

Poor Haiti, they're still not rebuilt from the last major hurricane.

 

Indeed. This isn't good news for them. Hope everyone remains safe.

[canuckcruiselover]

You are correct if you want to split hairs. We do have a Cruise booked in September. Huge factor here it's not in the Caribbean. When was the last time a hurricane ripped through BC, Washington, Oregon and California.? That's my September Cruise not the Caribbean. The OPs thread was about hurricane Matthew which is in the Caribbean and not the West Coast. My post #4 I didn't say "Caribbean" because that was a given (for most but looks like not all) based on the OPs thread about hurricane Matthew which is in the Caribbean. That's why in post #11 that you quoted I said and made clear "Yes, that's why we elect not to Cruise the Caribbean in September". For those that book a Caribbean Cruise during hurricane season good for them. Their choice. Just deal with what Mother Nature is going to throw at then. No weather guarantees no matter where you Cruise or what time of year.

 

We just returned from the Explorer -- same NW Pacific Coastal route next September. Had a nice sunny days in Seattle and Astoria. San Francisco had an unusual heatwave - in the 90s. Vancouver was around 70 and pleasant. We loved the itinerary and the ship.

[davekathy]

We just returned from the Explorer -- same NW Pacific Coastal route next September. Had a nice sunny days in Seattle and Astoria. San Francisco had an unusual heatwave - in the 90s. Vancouver was around 70 and pleasant. We loved the itinerary and the ship.

 

Agree. We also sailed on the Explorer 16-23 September of this year. Small world. Great Cruise and no weather issues. Had some on and off rain while at Astoria. Went up to Cannon Beach and Sea side.

[AZCactusCruiser]

Latest itinerary changes:

 

 

 

Hurricane Matthew Weather Update

October 3, 2016

11:00p.m. E.S.T

 

 

 

Royal Caribbean International continues to closely monitor the path and progress of Hurricane Matthew to ensure guests have an enjoyable and comfortable cruise. Given the storm’s current location and projected path, we are rerouting some of our ships to ensure the safety of our guests and crew.

 

 

Allure of the Seas

Allure of the Seas will be able to visit its original ports of call however; we are modifying her call dates and times. Allure of Seas revised itinerary:

•Sunday, Oct. 2 - Depart from Port Everglades, Florida at 4:30 p.m.

•Monday, Oct. 3 - At Sea

•Tuesday, Oct. 4 - Cozumel, Mexico at 7:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m.

•Wednesday, Oct. 5 - At Sea

•Thursday, Oct. 6 - Falmouth, Jamaica at 7:00 a.m to 4:00 p.m.

•Friday, Oct. 7 - Labadee, Haiti at 9:30 a.m. to 6:00 p.m.

•Saturday, Oct. 8 - At sea

•Sunday, Oct. 9 - Arriva at Port Everglades, Florida at 6:15 a.m.

 

 

Freedom of the Seas

Freedom of the Seas will now be calling on San Juan, Puerto instead of her scheduled call to CocoCay, Bahamas. Freedom of the Seas revised itinerary:

•Sunday, Oct. 2 - Depart from Port Canaveral at 4:30 p.m.

•Monday, Oct. 3 - At sea

•Tuesday, Oct. 4 - San Juan, Puerto Rico at 4:00 p.m. to 11:00 p.m.

•Wednesday, Oct. 5 - Charlotte Amalie, St. Thomas at 9:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.

•Thursday, Oct. 6 - Philipsburg, St. Maarten at 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m.

•Friday, Oct. 7 - At sea

•Saturday, Oct. 8 - At sea

•Sunday, Oct. 9 - Arrive at Port Canaveral, Florida at 6:00 a.m.

 

 

Enchantment of the Seas

Enchantment of the Seas will not be able to call to either port in the Bahamas. Instead Enchantment of the Seas will now call to Cozumel, Mexico. Enchantment of Seas revised itinerary:

•Monday, Oct. 3 - Depart from Port Miami, Florida at 4:00 p.m.

•Tuesday, Oct. 4 - At sea

•Wednesday, Oct. 5 - Cozumel, Mexico at 8:00 a.m. to 2:00 p.m.

•Thursday, Oct. 6 - Key West, Florida at 1:15 p.m. to 7:00 p.m.

•Friday, Oct. 7 - Arrive at Port Miami, Florida at 7:00 a.m.

 

 

Majesty of the Seas

We are rerouting Majesty of the Seas. Majesty will now call to Freeport, Bahamas and overnight in Key West, Florida, instead of her scheduled calls to CocoCay and Nassau, Bahamas. Majesty of the Seas revised itinerary:

•Monday, Oct. 3 - Port Canaveral, Florida at 4:00 p.m.

•Tuesday, Oct. 4 - Freeport, Bahamas at 8:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m.

•Wednesday, Oct. 5 - Key West, Florida at 9:00 a.m.

•Thursday, Oct. 6 - Depart from Key West, Florida at 9:00 a.m.

•Friday, Oct. 7 - Port Canaveral, Florida at 7:00 a.m.

 

 

 

 

 

 

If you have not done so already, we strongly suggest guests complete their online check-in as soon as possible, including the section requesting your preferred method of contact while traveling. You can access online check-in at http://www.royalcaribbean.com/onlinecheckin.

 

 

Royal Caribbean International will continue to closely monitor weather conditions and will provide updates as soon as they become available.

[waterbugohio]

Been watching these threads.

 

What about any ships that are out there now?? Any going to have trouble coming back in?? Sounds like the worst my hit the FLorida area over the weekend.

[rkkunk]

The Allure ports seem a bit iffy. If Jamaica and Haiti get hit as hard as they think they will, will they be able to dock there? And Majesty going to the Bahamas? Thinking some more changes will be coming.

 

 

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[crisndeefromde]

some of these changes don't seem like they will happen...the Majesty new schedule..yikes...not the Bahamas...i am not sure how some of these ports can magically clean up the damage....Haiti...oh my gosh...my heart is hurting for these people....

[Retired LEO]

Been watching these threads.

 

What about any ships that are out there now?? Any going to have trouble coming back in?? Sounds like the worst my hit the FLorida area over the weekend.

 

The way it's looking right now the Majesty will have an issue coming in on Friday. The way it looks right now we're going to get hit the worse on Thursday into Friday with the center only about 65 miles off shore. The on shore surf is expected to be 12-20 ft. The seas off shore will probably be 30-40 ft.

[Rancher Dave]

The way it's looking right now the Majesty will have an issue coming in on Friday. The way it looks right now we're going to get hit the worse on Thursday into Friday with the center only about 65 miles off shore. The on shore surf is expected to be 12-20 ft. The seas off shore will probably be 30-40 ft.

 

Definitely not a sailing I'd want to be aboard. Perhaps they will get a pass on Jones Act requirements and bus some folks who have to be back on Friday up the coast, not that buses on 95 in such weather seems highly sensible either...perhaps they go to Tampa running new pax to Tampa and offloading "old" pax off to PC via bus. I'm sure they have folks on shifts looking at the logistics for all these options right now.

[CRUISEFAN0001]

This is all expanding and developing into a bigger Hurricane - impacting even more than just the Caribbean.

 

Florida eastern ports are now also at risk.

 

Based on the latest information below (via MSN), it appears that many cruises (those based out of the Florida ports) will be impacted for both departures over the next 5-6 days, as well as probable delays in return dates.

 

Furthermore, airline travel in the immediate area will also be impacted.

 

MIAMI — As Hurricane Matthew’s outer bands began pounding Jamaica and southwest Haiti on Monday, the long-term forecast for Florida took a bleak turn.

 

In their Monday evening advisory, National Hurricane Center forecasters said computer models have shifted Matthew’s track westward after three days, putting Florida and the U.S. southeast coast at greater risk. The storm was located 200 miles southwest of Port-au-Prince, traveling north, northeast at 8 mph at 8 p.m. EDT. Sustained winds remained at 140 mph, keeping Matthew a fierce Category 4 hurricane.

 

While forecasters have been wary about the long-range forecast — beyond three days, tracks can be off by as much as 175 miles — they said models Monday afternoon shifted in response to the strengthening of a subtropical ridge. A strong ridge would steer the storm to the northwest. That shift also followed an earlier westward slide, said University of Miami hurricane researcher Brian McNoldy.

 

With the new forecast track shifting the cone of concern over a large swath of the state, including South Florida, state officials warned residents to get serious about preparations. Monday afternoon, Gov. Rick Scott declared a state of emergency for the entire state.

 

“If Matthew directly impacts Florida,” he said, “there will be massive destruction we have not seen in years, comparable to what we saw in Hurricane Andrew.”

 

Forecasters said late Monday that Matthew would likely pick up speed and make a turn toward the northwest on Wednesday. The center of the storm will move over Haiti on Monday night, eastern Cuba late Tuesday and across the southeastern Bahamas late Tuesday and early Wednesday.

 

Around the Caribbean, countries evacuated thousands of residents as conditions worsened.

 

In Haiti, government officials went door to door warning residents. Cuban authorities organized a mass exodus and moved more than 430,000 people from the southeast coast. The Dominican Republic relocated another 13,000 people. Jamaica — which replaced its hurricane warning with a tropical storm warning Monday evening — sent buses to ferry residents from harbor towns. U.S. Navy officials shipped about 700 family members from its base at Guantanamo Bay to Pensacola.

 

If it hits Haiti, Matthew would be the first major hurricane to strike a direct blow in 50 years, raising concerns about widespread destruction. Rain poses the most serious threat. Forecasters warn the storm could dump up to 2 feet of rain on the country, with as much as 40 inches possible in some places, likely triggering lethal mudslides.

 

Seas churned up by the massive storm already have claimed two victims in Haiti near the coastal town of Les Cayes — a fisherman, whose body washed ashore Saturday, and another man who remains missing. A buoy near the storm early Monday recorded a wave height of nearly 34 feet.

 

Rain across the region could be “staggering,” said National Hurricane Center Director Rick Knabb. Parts of Cuba are expected to get 8 to 12 inches, with as much as 20 inches in some locations.

 

“We will be measuring rainfall in feet, not inches,” Knabb said.

 

Hurricane force winds spread across 80 miles. Tropical storm force winds covered 370 miles.

 

Matthew is also expected to generate dangerous storm surges, with massive waves likely to raise water well in advance of the storm’s arrival. Forecasters warned the south coast of Haiti could see a surge of 7 to 10 feet. Cuba’s southern coast could get 7 to 11 feet. Ten to 15 feet is forecast for the Central and southeastern Bahamas.

 

Matthew could weaken slightly as it passes over the mountainous islands, but forecasters warn it will likely remain a powerful hurricane when it reaches the southeastern Bahamas.

[temple1]

We're on pins and needles here on the coast of SC. This is the biggest storm to head our way in many years!

 

Top that off - our cruise is supposed to leave Port Canaveral the day after it is projected to hit our coast. :eek:

 

We are also very concerned about the devastation to Haiti and Jamaica. Very sad and horrible for those in the path. We are able to get in our car and leave unlike the folks who live in the path in the Caribbean.

[bouhunter]

This is all expanding and developing into a bigger Hurricane - impacting even more than just the Caribbean.

 

Florida eastern ports are now also at risk.

 

Based on the latest information below (via MSN), it appears that many cruises (those based out of the Florida ports) will be impacted for both departures over the next 5-6 days, as well as probable delays in return dates.

 

Furthermore, airline travel in the immediate area will also be impacted.

 

Yeah those ships returning to Florida on Friday could have an interesting trip if the forecasts hold..............

[CRUISEFAN0001]

We're on pins and needles here on the coast of SC. This is the biggest storm to head our way in many years!

 

Top that off - our cruise is supposed to leave Port Canaveral the day after it is projected to hit our coast. :eek:

 

We are also very concerned about the devastation to Haiti and Jamaica. Very sad and horrible for those in the path. We are able to get in our car and leave unlike the folks who live in the path in the Caribbean.

Those of us not in direct harm's way are certainly hoping and praying for the well-being of everyone who is at risk - at sea or on the coastal front.

 

This is not looking good!

 

[OKCcruiser8]

Surely the itinerary for the Allure will change & they won't go to Labadee. I can't imagine that they will be able to dock there. They were saying this morning that Haiti would have catastrophic damage. I realize the weather channels tend to like to throw the word "catastrophic" around for effect. But, Haiti is about to get smacked hard.

[nbsjcruiser]

Latest itinerary changes:

 

 

Majesty of the Seas

We are rerouting Majesty of the Seas. Majesty will now call to Freeport, Bahamas and overnight in Key West, Florida, instead of her scheduled calls to CocoCay and Nassau, Bahamas. Majesty of the Seas revised itinerary:

•Monday, Oct. 3 - Port Canaveral, Florida at 4:00 p.m.

•Tuesday, Oct. 4 - Freeport, Bahamas at 8:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m.

•Wednesday, Oct. 5 - Key West, Florida at 9:00 a.m.

•Thursday, Oct. 6 - Depart from Key West, Florida at 9:00 a.m.

•Friday, Oct. 7 - Port Canaveral, Florida at 7:00 a.m.

.

 

Overnight in Key West? Those lucky buggers. What a great stop that would be provided the weather is ok.

[mattg43]

We leave on Oasis on the 15th with a stop in Nassau on the 16th. I'm wondering how much damage there will be in Nassau and if the port will even be open.

 

Last time there we just walked around aimlessly, but this time I'd like to see the Queen's Staircase, etc.

 

On a completely ridiculous and superficial level, I wonder how long it will take for the water to clear up after the storm passes.

[cruiseluvingirl]

We are to sail on Majesty on Friday, keeping on close watch as i don't see where she will be able to make it back to port on Friday. Hope RCCL comes out with a update today. Wondering if they will cancel the 3 day, so many what if's but nothing like the folks in Haiti, we have option they don't. Praying everyone stay safe!!

[ECCruise]

Majesty docked in Freeport at 07:30 today. Wonder where she is headed next?

Real can of worms for returning to Port Canaveral.

[Clarea]

Majesty docked in Freeport at 07:30 today. Wonder where she is headed next?

Real can of worms for returning to Port Canaveral.

I believe she is scheduled to overnight in Key West next.